Showing posts with label Putin. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Putin. Show all posts

Saturday, January 21, 2017

"Trouble Ahead" - Trump and the GOP Senate

Fracturing the "Nothing Can Stop Him Now" Nightmare
Since he doesn't understand how "being President" works,
we can assume that he doesn't understand how "dealing with the Senate" works, either.

In these dark moments when we've allowed our worst expectations to gain an unwarranted inevitability, we've imagined that the machinations of the Trump Administration will be effortlessly herding one legislative nightmare after another through a vengeful, gloating clutch of obediently greedy Senate plutocrats. Although the reactionaries are now firmly in control of ALL branches of the government, things may not be "singing" along in an ebullient chorus of victory, plunder and prizes for the salivating Trumpkins.

Normally, one would anticipate that the Republican controlled Senate would assume the historical tradition of its mindless, unanimous lockstep. This is hardly an exaggeration. We've watched this for years now. Still, when there is no essentially other possibility of hope -- as is the case now -- our gloom may have obscured a faint glimmer of unexpected optimism lurking patiently in the Senate chamber's cloak room.

Now, immediately dispatch any furtive expectation that the Senate Republicans are going to somehow act in the interests of the country or the old democracy. They haven't done anything similar to this for decades. But -- MeanMesa sees a faint possibility that, while continuing to consistently embrace their absolute highest priority of further enriching themselves and their billionaire handlers, these old, white GOP Senators may possibly have an even less legitimate interest scurrying around in their dark dreams -- revenge.

"Legitimate?" Don't forget the now antiquated theory that the Senate "serves" the interest of the common people of the country, and that doesn't mean "serves them up as meaningless pork chops on a plate of deregulated, Senatorial, get rich quick schemes."

We can be quite certain that, should the Senate Republicans deny Trump any of his "election bling," they won't be doing it because of their love of democracy. Republican Senators do, in fact, "love $omething," but it's not democracy.

 Possible "Bad Weather" Ahead In Trump's GOP Senate
"Bad weather?" Let's just say "Bad Feelings" -- plenty of them.
An inexperienced, under informed, naive President
 and the geriatric Senate's GOP, anti-democracy, expert "meat grinders"
They won't even need their proverbial "long knives" for this one.

The Senate of the 115th Congress [the current one] is 54-R to 44-D with 2 Independents who caucus with the Democrats. That leaves the "operational tally" at 52-R vs 48-D.

Unimaginably, we are now looking to 3 Republicans to stand up for the democracy -- of course, following some weird, inexplicable Republican motives for such a move. Realistically setting the possibility of any actual, unseen Republican patriotism aside, our hopes now reside squarely with the prospect of "Republican political revenge" -- entombed somewhere in the mix with the now suddenly checkered prospect of having to compete with the White House Trumpkins over the traditionally successful Senatorial looting operations -- presenting "priorities" which might sway what, otherwise, appears inevitable.

Let's take a look at a few examples of some of the possible Senate "storm clouds" quietly drifting toward the Oval Office and the new President's legislation.

Senator Orrin Hatch, R-Utah
Trump, Senator Orrin Hatch and the Mormons

Mormons have the cultural scars, bruises and grave stones of "PR problems" from a century ago. Not only are the rank and file LDS sensitive to such matters, it is very good politics to also be sensitive, yourself, if your constituency happens to be in Utah. Orrin Hatch doesn't like criticism of Mormons. He really didn't like Trump's "Mad Hatter" humiliation of Mitt Romney. Regardless of Orrin's personal sentiments, the politics of "stump the Trump" will play well at home. Utah, in general, is already less than ecstatic with The Donald's "pussy grabbing" even if they were somewhat less upset with his string of multiple wives and simultaneous, extra-marital "sweet hearts."

Senator Marco Rubio, R-Florida
Trump, "Little Marco," the Cubans and the GOP's "Young Guns"

Marco Rubio was heavily bruised during the GOP Primary debates. He had already established his own political comic meme with the frantic water guzzling while "rebutting" an Obama State of the Union speech.  Trump chewed up Rubio alive with a string of insults which continued in standard "Trump style" -- always met with histrionic doggerel screams during his rallies -- even long after the Primary had ended [leaving Rubio embarrassingly conflicted with his Senatorial future] and The Donald had plunged deeply into his strange, surreal Presidential campaign.

Senator Ted Cruz, R-Texas
Trump, "Lyin' Ted" and the "nearly out of breath" Texas Evangelicals

The reason that Ted's evangelicals are "nearly out of breath" is because they had been forcibly "pigeon holed" into approving Trump's decidedly "non-evangelical," wildly public, profligate behavior. If you are familiar with "the biblicals," the real problem is that the "other guy" is black.Ted Cruz grudgingly "made up" with the tyrant in a depressing bid to be chosen for the cabinet but received his own "Romney style" humiliation instead. Trump's crazy allegation that Cruz's hyper-pious father had helped assassinate JFK struck an impressive resonance with the hillbillies in the raucous crowds at the Trump-fests, but left just about everyone else staggering toward the nearest vomitorium. [Trump Accuses Cruz Father/POLITICO]

Senator John McCain, R-Arizona
Trump, Senator John McCain and the angry war mongers

The Donald began his pointed irritation of the geriatric war monger by "firing a shot across the bow" with his weird crack about McCain's POW experience. [Trump Slams McCain for being captured/WashPOST]  This "love affair" has plunged into deeper water since then. McCain became even more upset when Trump lurched after McCain's "buddy," Senator Lindsey Graham.

Senator Lindsey Graham,
R-South Carolina
Trump, and "lost boy," Senator Lindsey Graham
 -- "looking for love -- practically everywhere"

Lindsey Graham may not have garnered many votes in primary campaign support, but he still has a Senate vote and even something of a strange loyalty from his own voting block "caucus" comprised of other Confederate state, Senatorial throw backs. Trump easily absconded with Lindsey's historical segregationist base of Southern racists with an endless string of "white supremacist" innuendos in his campaign speeches which most erstwhile "Lindsey backers" found almost as delightful as either bad religion or bad narcotics.

"You ain't washin' this one off!"
[image]
The Republican Establishment -- "Hey, brokers, lobbyists and hedge fund billionaires have feelings, too."

The damage already inflicted by the Trump "experiment" has inflicted fundamental damage to the Republican brand. Worse, this kind of damage is almost certainly politically permanent. The US has experienced two un-elected Republican Presidents in this Century. The first one was horrendous. This one appears quite ready to re-brand that last nightmare into the imaginary dust of "the good old days."

Choices: another Republican depression,
 WWIII or both? That question is too
complicated for the hillbillies.
[image]
The American Electorate is Terrified

Now that the Inauguration is complete, an actual majority of Americans -- including the 55% who didn't bother to vote -- are officially frightened. For the past couple of months those with a "more whimsical - less realistic" comprehension of matters were desperately seeking "someone" who could "fix" this. We're on the train. We're going where the tracks go. There isn't anyone left in power except Republicans. Take it from there.

There are plenty of "ego bruised" Republicans beyond this short list of examples. Happily, many of them are seated in the Republican controlled Senate.

During a more typical Republican Primary candidates would have been recruited from the various Red State Governors, but this nomination process found a depressing majority of Red States as "Federal hand out parasites" and the corresponding "Red State Governors" as petulant, ill advised, incompetent ideologues. As a result those FOX News "debates" were packed with Republican Senators -- literally an indigestible poison pill for the Party's hordes of beer soaked racists terribly upset after being bushwhacked by Washington "insiders."

Worse, the GOP Governors couldn't politically maneuver well at all while dragging their instate collection of "fetchy" oil billionaires around behind them -- so the Koch Brothers  and Goldman-Sachs won. What the GOP Senate seems to be doing day by day as of this posting may look relatively innocuous, but every action -- on practically anything -- is now the result of "orders coming down" from the big boys on the far end of the campaign checks.

The rowdy GOP House caucus is chuck full of amateur looters, but the GOP Senate is, on the other hand, chuck full of surgically professional GOP looters. The extremely well fed, Republican banksters and hedgies who currently own these Senators, while probably appreciating the exciting business opportunities of becoming utterly unregulated, are far less enthusiastic as they watch huge tranches of the "peoples' money" sliding out of their grip and into the hands of Trump's lobbyists, billionaires and other Goldman-Sachs "swamp dwellers."

Trump has never been famous for sharing.

Sunday, November 13, 2016

If You're Wondering, Just Ask Ukraine

Just How Close Is the Trump-Kremlin Connection?
We can only hope that there will be time for "other stuff' 
before we're back to Mutual Assured Destruction.

Granted, most of Donald's "true believers" are still "soaking" in the anti-Soviet propaganda which totally saturated the United States during the Cold War. This "failure to update" is a little dangerous these days. The Russian Federation which emerged from the political ruins of the old Soviet remains a geo-political competitor and, in some cases, an actual adversary to the United States, but -- importantly -- the essential nature of both this adversary and the threat it poses are significantly changed from the old Nikita Khrushchev and Cuban Missile Crisis days.

This situation is further aggravated by the fact that modern Americans have no current experience with leadership as competent and determined as Vladimir Putin's. Of course, this is far from any sort of endorsement coming from MeanMesa -- the man is despicable, but he has a chillingly thorough understanding of the use of power. This is dangerous because Putin is now facing a dangerously unstable and largely uninformed US President [elect], an opportunity the Russian almost certainly intends to exploit to its fullest.

Apparently, this "exploitation" has already begun much earlier with Russian coordination with the Trump Presidential Campaign.

This discussion could drag on for pages, but MeanMesa would like to present a single, very interesting, point before this post gets to the ESQUIRE article below.

Putin's Pitch to Trump: "Better Relations With US"
The view through the eyes of Russian oligarchs

President Putin, responding to the Trump election victory, noted that US-Russian relations now presented an opportunity to improve if Wall Street markets' influence on the new administration were to be curtailed.

Although this comment may seem innocuous enough, there is, probably, much more to the story. In fact there are a few "high points" which can assist in a reasonable "interpretation" of Putin's words.

High Points

1. Sanctions

The oligarchs surrounding Vladimir Putin are still "feeling the sting" of the economic, banking and trade sanctions put in place by US President Obama in response to the Russian Federation's invasion and annexation of Ukrainian territory in Crimea.

2. Hillary Clinton

Putin and Hillary Clinton see "eye to eye" on practically nothing. As Secretary of State, she helped design not only the sanctions but also much of the military and political strategy employed by the Obama Administration to counter Russia's "insinuation" of itself in other Middle Eastern matters.

3. Domestic Russian Politics

Inside Russia Putin's popularity is largely based on his own version of "Make Russia Great Again." At least in the public image, plenty of Russians were feeling a real nationalist jolt with the covert invasion of Ukraine and the annexation of Crimea. Approximately the same Russian domestic demographic considers issues such as the imposition of sanctions, the casual plan to "beef up" NATO forces in Eastern Europe to better resist further Russian incursions and the lingering discussion of establishing an anti-missile capability to counter the Iranians as direct "affronts" to Russia's ambition to resurrect most of the old Soviet empire.

Here is the specific point MeanMesa wishes to make:

Putin is politically motivated to "re-image" the sanctions as the result of Wall Street influence on the Oval Office instead of a response to the poorly conceived Kremlin policy for the Ukraine and Crimea invasion. The dangerously unstable Trump Presidency offers the incredibly more competent Putin the chance to alter the domestic Russian political perception of all of these issues.

An Overview of the Russian Federation [USATODAY]
The rather unsettling confusion of the typical American when it comes to Russian issues makes the "high stakes" game between Putin and Trump quite volatile.

Although there are plenty of mean things to say about Trump's folksy fascism, perhaps the central conclusion in this case is that the man is a terrible poker player.

Given this, we can understand that the Russian will be designing the picnic while the new American President will be totally preoccupied with the fried chicken and potato salad.

Pay attention. This could become significantly more frightening as time passes with the Trump Administration.

The Trump Russian Connection
Don't count on the FBI to sort through this...

MeanMesa enjoys weekly visits by Charlie Pierce to The Stephanie Miller Show [7 - 10 AM weekdays, AM1350, KABQ Albuquerque] -- he is a welcome, lively, well informed addition to this great morning radio talk show. Please have a look at Pierce's article in ESQUIRE. [Visit the original article here - ESQUIRE]

This Story Should Dominate the News Until Trump Is Sworn In
This needs to have a full airing.

BY CHARLES P. PIERCE
NOV 11, 2016

Maybe it's because I grew up at the tail end of the McCarthy Era and in the heart of the Cold War, and maybe because I spent 13 awful days in 1962 waiting for the missiles to fly, and maybe it's because I believe that, Tsarist or Communist or Kleptocracy, Russia behaves in pretty much the same way, but I honestly believe that this should be the only story dominating the news right now.

At least, I think it warrants as much space in our various media as was devoted to the BREAKING NEWS about what John Podesta had for lunch last year. Per The Washington Post:

The statement came from Deputy Foreign Minister Sergei Ryabkov, who said in an interview with the state-run Interfax news agency that "there were contacts" with the Trump team. "Obviously, we know most of the people from his entourage," Ryabkov said. "We have just begun to consider ways of building dialogue with the future Donald Trump administration and channels we will be using for those purposes," Ryabkov was quoted as saying. Ryabkov provided no further details, and his remarks drew a swift denial from Trump spokeswoman Hope Hicks, who said the campaign had "no contact with Russian officials" before Tuesday's election.

Why in Christ's sweet name isn't this thundering through the news cycle right now? Why aren't hundreds of national-security reporters all over it? We have elected a guy who may well have traded what little integrity he has to a vicious autocrat and his thieves-in-law. (Note to anyone who takes exception: This is not "red-baiting" because these crooks are not Red.) We know he can't get a loan from most American banks, so he has to go overseas for a lot of his financing. What banks is he tied into, and are any of those banks tied into the Russian government? Whom does he owe and how much does he owe them? And how do they plan to collect?

This is a monumental story, and it deserves a full airing before we swear this guy in. And it's only part of the unprecedented tangle of shadowy business dealings that will follow him into office. The president-elect also is the defendant in 75 different lawsuits of assorted kinds. He plans to put his assets into a "blind trust" that will be overseen by…his children. I know a lot of people are charmed by his reluctance to abide by traditional political norms and customs, but this is far beyond that. This is a guy toting a huge amount of baggage into the Oval Office and each piece of it contains a ticking time-bomb.

The Russian business is perilous beyond words. But you can sense even now that our Fourth Estate is pushing it ever so gently in the direction of the same memory hole down which went Nixon's treasonous behavior as regards the Paris Peace Talks and the possibility that the Reagan campaign monkey wrenched the release of the hostages in Iran in 1980. The way this works is that the elite political media decides something is so unthinkable that the children—that's the rest of us—are too delicate to handle it.

Well, kids, the unthinkable already has happened. You might as well cover it as fully as possible.

Additional Reading

If you haven't managed to find a way off the planet, this is a good time to be well informed.


Thursday, August 20, 2015

A NATO and Russian Federation War Primer

A Not Very Pleasant Memory
 [MAD] A Few Gut Wrenching Decades
 of Mutually Assured Destruction Is Still Not Enough?

Dr. Strangelove, 1963 [image]
MeanMesa became one of many watching in stark terror as the US and the old Soviet Union -- each one bristling with literally thousands of quite credible intercontinental H-Bomb delivery systems -- scratched and clawed their way through the "Great Cold War Showdown." The reach of the grisly pogrom would not have been limited to the fictional "OK Corral," either. Those weapons [from both sides] were targeting population centers right along with military assets, and the estimates at the time predicted 350,000,000 [350 Mn] casualties in the first few hours after the ICBM first stage lift engines were ignited.

MeanMesa's experience was similar to most everyone else's -- even the prospect of such a general thermonuclear exchange transformed anyone paying attention into a raging psychopath during the 24 hour a day, decades long US-NATO-Soviet-Warsaw Pact nightmare. Only a very special, certain kind of human would have any appetite for returning to anything like this.

Meet Vladimir Putin.
Just a happy-go-lucky, Russian boy [image]
Some of us "got over" what we became during the M.A.D.'s Psycho Years 
Conversations during this Cold War period were marked by an almost universal concern that the two great ideological blocs would actually do it at some point, but in more modern times one of the irritating "quips" MeanMesa encounters concerning this is that "they would never have ever actually done it." Such Pollyannism [defined more politely as an "indulgent positivity bias..."] reveals evidence of a either a seriously depressing educational failure or a gravely dangerous "re-writing" of history.

This "indulgent positivity" is "back on the geopolitical front burner" when we consider the possibilities of a 2015-2016 version of the old anguish. Two revealing examples of Russian intransigence in dealing with the possibility of ever quietly accepting the fact that they have been bested can be seen in the North Sea Fleet supply depot incident of 1964 and the ultimate "blink" when confronted with Ronnie Raygun's Star Wars propaganda. Without burdening this post with too much history, a short review of each case remains germane to understanding this topic.

Example One: In July of 1964 the Soviet North Sea Fleet's main supply depot at Severomorsk, on the Barents Sea north of Murmansk, suffered a tremendous fire. The emergency continued for several days, leaving several hundred dead and perhaps several thousand injured. When the fire had finally been extinguished, US experts were speculating that the loss in stockpiled military armament had been so large that it had reduced the Soviet Union's capacity to conduct a conventional war to around 10 days -- total.

Faced with this sudden loss of military readiness for conventional [non-nuclear] war, more than a few of the Generals in the Soviet High Command recommended that Premier Khruschev immediately initiate a first strike against the US and NATO. Thankfully, the Premier declined this advice, although the incident almost certainly led to his retirement from the Kremlin [departure from office] in October of that year. [Read more 1964 Soviet Naval Blast Called Crippling - NYTIMES]

Example Two: Reagan's ambitious Cold War gambit, called the Strategic Defense Initiative, under development in the 1980's produced a marginally credible possibility that it could effectively degrade the Soviet ICBM deterrent force by protecting parts of the Continental US from attack. The cost to the US economy was in the trillions, but the Soviets were facing a comparable expenditure to counter SDI -- if it could really function as advertised. The components of the SDI system were never particularly successful in tests, but the US Administration prepared a series of "cartoons" depicting a very successful system which would be able to counter a Soviet ICBM attack.

Faced with the "lethal PR combination" of the cartoons plus the utterly flummoxing estimates for the cost of counter measures, the Kremlin "blinked." However, this "blinking" represented an even more serious PR problem for the Soviet leadership. The vast investment already made in the Soviet ICBM fleet had been justified by the claim that being armed this way amounted to a, well, "no blinking" capability to the Soviet Union's citizens. For this reason [along with a large collection of other geo-economic reasons, as well] the old Soviet Union finally "gave up the ghost" officially in December or 1991. [Read more Did Star Wars Help End the Cold War? - RussianForces]

The point here deals much more with the psychology of Russians in general than with the nuanced behavior of the Soviet Union. [Most of the background history concerning Russia held by Americans is based on experience with the Soviets more than with the "post Soviet" leadership of the Russian Federation.] Nonetheless, we may assume that this apparent inability to accept "being bested" internationally runs with the innate Russian bloodline just as much as with the nationalist ambitions of someone like Vladimir Putin. Vlad knows all about this, and he uses it as a principle technique in his propaganda.

We must also not disregard the same type of Russian "sensitivity" in matters of what Russian citizens perceive as international respect.

Deja Vu: Crimea as Vlad Putin's Sudetenland?
Wait! Haven't we been here before?

All this would be a bit academic except that it illustrates a specific combination of "motivations" which have influenced Russian behavior in the past. The first "motivation" deals with the total inability to countenance even minor setbacks in international relations -- including a full spectrum of diplomatic, geopolitical and military affairs. The second "motivation" is a question of respect which arises from a national outlook constructed from years of having the self-perceived view of being the "second class" laughing stock of more developed countries.

MeanMesa suspects that this outlook may have begun during Czarist times, perhaps even as early as when Czar Peter invited the French to introduce "European influences" into the Russian culture. The days of the brutal Revolution, the extreme difficulties faced by the new Communist state and the disastrous and embarrassing military bumbling at the beginning of WWII have all contributed "fuel to the fire" to produce this national appetite for recognition as a "great and powerful state."

The nationalist vent of the current propaganda stream issuing forth from Moscow has taken the expected course in faux priorities such a re-establishing a Russian "sphere of influence" comparable to those of the over-extended hegemony of the Soviets and the "repatriation" of theoretically Russian ex-patriots stranded in regions which have now extricated themselves from such suffocating Kremlin ambitions.

Sudetenland - 1938 [map source]
Predictably, the "pressing urgency" for this "repatriation" can be embellished with propaganda tales of oppression and discrimination, and Moscow has lived up to its Soviet reputation by taking on this PR assault "whole hog plus the postage." Ironically, the tactics and strategy so far have a chilling similarity to those of Germany at the beginning of its WWII expansion in Europe.

One of the Third Reich's first "cross border" adventures dealt with a similar scheme to repatriate the "oppressed Germans" living just outside the nation's border in Sudetenland. When this German incursion is compared to the recent Russian incursion -- and annexation -- of Crimea, the similarities yield an unsettling prescience.
Soviet Annexation of Romania 1945 [ MoldovanView]

The Soviets took their turn at this "repatriation and annexation" tactic as they patiently began to
 expand that "sphere of influence" to encompass post-war Eastern Europe. The example of their advances into Romania illustrates this. The same approach continued to be repeated until the cold, grey bastion of the Warsaw Pact had been created.

Now, we see yet another case of the same expansionist thrust, one still based on the "tried and true" model established in the 1940's. Vladimir Putin has prepared the stage for a significant number of additional, "absolutely necessary" repatriation and annexation adventures all across the region temporarily -- at least in Vladimir's view -- excluded from Russian influence after the fall of the Soviets.

Russian "Populations" Currently Outside the Russian Federation
"Russian speaking" or "Russian People?" [WorldBulletin]



These regional concentrations of "Russians" requiring Vladimir Putin's "repatriation efforts" [Particularly the ones located in the Baltic States, Belarus and Ukraine] organize the basic map of what he hopes will become "contested regions" in his contest with NATO and the West. However, the "fly in the ointment" turns out to be a pretty good sized fly.

Putin's validation for this potential "land grab" rests on shaky logical premises. One way to express this "shakiness" is to pose the questions: 

"Are these Russians?"

"Would they even like to be Russians?" 

"Is there some empirical means to determine if a person is really a 'Russian' by these criteria?" 

"Or, does the fact that a person was once a citizen of the old Soviet Union -- willingly or not -- legitimately establish that the same person should now [and always in the future] be a citizen of the Russian Federation?"

Of course Vladimir could not, in reality, care less about all these "repatriation" priorities. All the incendiary rhetoric is nothing more than fodder for his domestic political machinations.

Mapping Out the Coming War:
The Crimea Technique
Pay attention to the details;
we should expect to see them again.

As a means to stay abreast of this developing conflict, US conventional media coverage is useless. Reporting on this has, as usual, drawn corporate war lobbyists from every smelly little rats' nest, and these types enjoy full access to the network editorial boards which will, in turn, determine what corporate media content will be provided to the domestic audience. To date this has amounted to little more than an "American version" expressing the diametric opposites of the same propaganda "talking points" being broadcast by the Russian Federation media. If there were not a calendar marked clearly with the year "2015" here in the Galactic Headquarters office, MeanMesa could easily imagine that this was actually "news content" from the depths of the old Cold War in 1975.

Still, the blog must go ahead, so MeanMesa has reviewed a comprehensive collection of net-based analyses concerning the prospects of this developing conflict. It would be far too dramatic, at least at this point, to discuss this "interest conflict" as if it were at some intermediate step in an inexorable march to a full spectrum of direct combat in a European war. There are reasonable "odds" that no combat at all will result as the inevitable resolution of these competing ambitions "play out." On the other hand there are also reasonable "odds" for the converse outcome, and these "odds" reflect probabilities strong enough to merit, if not outright concern, at least heightened diligence. [If you happen to be a blog visitor with an appetite for prophecy, all that appears in the later stages of the post, but, happily, only one will be a MeanMesa prophecy.]

Not every war in history has been finally ignited by the "yellow press," but our record of recent exceptions to this rule is not reassuring, and in this case there happen to be at least two -- and possibly more -- "state supported," institutional, "yellow presses" each one with its respective speed controls locked firmly at "frantic."

The products of all these efforts -- both Russian and Western -- are ironically similar. Both are deeply complicit in two distinctly different, national apparitions of the same jingoistic war frenzy. Both represent evidence of the worst possible actors gleefully engaging in irresponsible war promotion, dutifully serving as sold out corporate media whores while masquerading as the equivalent of expert "pleasure girls" tempting the well known fears and desires of unwary national audiences.

A much more balanced overview of this is available from NATO, itself. Please take five minutes to view this video produced by NATO REVIEW Magazine in 2014:


After watching the video, reconsider the model portrayed in the media rhetoric.

War: Everybody Wins, Right?
Pulling the lobbyist strings to keep the puppets dancing.

The US billionaires, confronted with the real possibilities of what a "shooting war" with the Russian Federation might ultimately "deliver," face a heart wrenching dichotomy. Will they profit more by selling the arms which would be required -- and consumed -- by such a conflict, or will they profit more from a new wave of "cooperative" corporate involvement in the Federation's natural resource business -- especially crude oil and natural gas, and especially crude oil  and natural gas reserves to be "developed" by the Federation's Arctic exploration program.

This is an invitation to a waltz, one to be attended by three oligarchies, one controlling the EU, one controlling the US and one controlling the Russian Federation, but there are even more "similar souls" -- hopeful spinsters and aging bachelors -- desperately smiling as they wait impatiently along the ball room's mirrors.

This slow train wreck becomes even more "testy" when one considers that US and European billionaires are tempted to use US and NATO military muscle to extort Russian Federation acquiescence to "stabilize" the distribution of fossil fuel profits currently flowing to Russia from European and Chinese energy clients. When the voices of the eager bullet and missile salesmen are added to this bellicose chorus, only the arrival of the Mad Hatter remains to complete the attendee guest list so the banquet's meal can begin.

Challenger 2 Main Battle Tank - UK [image]

All the parties have been very busily arming themselves with the most lethal kinds of new weapons for decades. Remember -- even in times of relative peace and stability, weapons manufacturers have been constantly insisting on inventing and adding one new device after another to these national armories.

In the US we understand the magnitude of the cash flowing from the General Fund to these Pentagon "procurement contractors," but we are inclined to think that we are the only one of the "war players" doing this. Not the case -- the European and Russian Federation equivalents of these US war based, political power brokers are just as busy.

Sometimes this illicit ambition to influence national military policy is shockingly transparent. For example, while working very diligently to frame themselves as hapless, nuclear armed, "victims" surrounded by belligerent, ambitious neighbors, the Israelis sell 3 combat versions of their SPIKE anti- tank armament [i.e. anti-tank ordinance SPIKE anti-tank] to most of the military interests on the European "side" of this conflict.

The French raised Russian "hackles" when that government declined to sell the Russians new Mistral assault ships as previously agreed because of Crimea [Russia Pitch Poles French for Mistral Sale Renunciation- MoscowTimes and French Need Russian Approval to Sell Mistrals Elsewhere-RT], and the Russians have responded that, based on the original sales agreement, France now cannot sell the ships, already constructed, to Brazil without Russian approval of the deal.

MeanMesa's GOOGLE provides thousands of sites analyzing the likely outcome of this potential military confrontation should it materialize. A few fairly rational ones are provided here for blog visitors interested in such details.

[includes relevant and accurate links to analysis of other specific types military hardware]

There's Still Room for Some Old Time Religion
As if the cash side of this can't produce enough blood on its own.

The dirty shirt preachers of the US televangelist world will find the move from demanding war with Iran to demanding war with the Russian Federation a simple step. The burping and bellowing "GOP-Christians" in the Congress will, inevitably, fall in line to join the chorus once the "pastors" start with their explanations concerning how all of this was already foretold by St. John the Divine in his Revelations.

After all, St. John "revealed" that military forces from all the world must ultimately congeal around Israel to initiate the violent conflagration required to initiate the Second Coming, and the perfect way to energize the players for that rodeo can be a violent, bloody war all along the Russian Federation's Western border. [Interested in exploring an account of what the Second Coming might be like if it were to happen now? MeanMesa wrote an entertaining fiction dealing with this subject which is available FOR FREE as a Short Current Essays "e-book:" Secret of Paraneho Just link and enjoy!]

However, the "biblical imperative" to "justify" and "sanctify" this war is found in numerous places in the Bible's content, and -- assuredly, soon enough -- it will also be streaming forth from the myriad of domestic, tax exempt, war mongering, domestic televangelist franchises.  For example, [Ezekiel ch 38,39

GOD warns Iran (Persia), with Russia (Magog), and a coalition of allies (including Turkey, Libya, Sudan)will go to war and will invade Israel.  In Ezekiel 38-39 the Bible warns this coming war between Iran (Persia) and Israel will take place sometime after Israel has been re-gathered into Her land as a nation (which was fulfilled on May 14, 1948), [source]

and,

Rosh as Russia itself, Meshech as Moscow, and Tubal equated with Tobolsk in Siberia, are relatively modern interpretations, as found in the Scofield Reference Bible and some 19th and 20th century interpreters. Many recent prophetic web sites still hold to the Russia theory and presumably await a re-ascendant Russia. [source]

Additionally, of course, there is the general reference to "world ending" combat sprinkled generously through other Biblical sections -- all, no doubt, will also be added to further embellish the "deified inevitability" of this looming, modern foreign relations disaster.


Matthew 24:6 You will be hearing of wars and rumors of wars. See that you are not frightened, for those things must take place, but that is not yet the end.

Mark 13:7 When you hear of wars and rumors of wars, do not be frightened; those things must take place; but that is not yet the end.

Ezekiel 13:10 It is definitely because they have misled My people by saying, 'Peace!' when there is no peace. And when anyone builds a wall, behold, they plaster it over with whitewash;

Jeremiah 8:11 They heal the brokenness of the daughter of My people superficially, Saying, 'Peace, peace,' But there is no peace.

A single MeanMesa prophecy was promised, so here it is:

"If and when this war draws closer, we will be hearing every one of the biblical warnings and more on two hundred tax free, religious television channels and in the Congress."

And, by the way, it will probably all occur in the most frenetic days of the 2016 election.

















includes relevant and accurate links to analysis of other specific military


Kiev fascist propaganda
irony
world political response
US biblically political policy for second coming

If Iran and Russia continue to import nationals to Syria, that country could also become included. Collapse of the Assad regime would enhance the temptation.



Thursday, February 12, 2015

Don't Wait - A Ukraine Military Aid Reader

[The MeanMesa "Reader:" There is a remarkable collection of interesting and revelatory documents available with respect to the Ukraine situation. With the "news reporting" and "opinion driven" media frantically sliding all over this subject -- all desiring to stake out some of the propaganda territory involved for their own point of view -- it may be worthwhile to visit some of exactly what is "coming from the horse's mouth." Visitors are invited to "have a little read" with this posting.]

The Russian Federation's 
Meat Handed Scrambling
Do Putin's ambitions in Ukraine echo 
LBJ's "incremental obsession" with Vietnam?

MeanMesa has no problem with approaching the carefully engineered quagmire of Putin's reckless adventure cautiously. However, the revolution in Kiev is completed. Ukraine has a new President who is clearly not intimidated by the Russian advances in the East, but who is also, clearly, not inclined to underestimate the full, lethal scope of Vladimir's on-going expansionist ambitions.

The old USSR "lost size."

"The Russian" is entertaining fantasies of reconstructing the Old Soviet Empire. However, the  loose ends accompanying the geopolitical "logic" driving such a dream leave a lot to be desired.

The satellite nations which made up that essentially ungovernable morass of Western Asia were members only by historical happenstance, and the final consequences of such a disparate mix finally "came to visit" the Kremlin in the end. During its slightly more coherent days, the U.S.S.R. bore a chilling similarity to modern Iraq where an awkward "aggregation for convenience" had birthed the irreconcilable collection of "parts" which continues to haunt that unfortunate country.

In the early years of the Cold War it was reported that 149 local languages and dialects were spoken in the U.S.S.R. [Read more here.]

After the unchallenged Super Power assimilation of Crimea Russian Federation colonialism graciously retired to its not particularly convincing "propaganda closet." However, issuing forth from behind those closed Kremlin doors was the predictably constant proclamation of total innocence with respect to the step by step Balkanization of East Ukraine and a curiously artificial, official surprise at the "admirable" ferocity of the Federation's convenient new "freedom loving client insurgent" allies.

When Non-Lethal Isn't Enough
Can anyone recall a military conflict when both parties
were equipped with only non-lethal supplies?

The Federation is pumping all sorts of shiny new Russian armor and anti-aircraft equipment across the border daily. There may have been an almost imperceptible hesitation in this re-supply tactic while the jet liner's smoldering embarrassment was dominating the international press, but now it's become "letting by gones be by gones." Driven by unstable Vladimir Putin's invasion obsessions, the Federation was apparently commanded to recover from such a temporary "red face" in a matter of hours.

The world was complicit on this one. Even though the forensic necropsies have barely been completed, the Federation's well sponsored mayhem is now already back to full steam ahead -- blissfully free of any complicating media references to the recent savagery. Likewise, the lethally vicious snipers hired by Yanukovych along with the other brutal suppression tactics which marked the desperate last days of the Russian puppet's regime have, both sadly and strangely, also faded from the media narrative.

The unspoken implication is that Russia's violent proxies in the East are somehow dissimilar to the murderous "hired guns" who were summarily executing Ukrainian civilians in the streets of Kiev only a few months ago. They're not.

Additionally, the Russian Federation is even more invested in arms exports than the United States.

Further, even at a safe distance we must disabuse ourselves of any confusion about the conflict's wicked portent. The Russian thugs in the East are now salivating over the prospect of a new bloodbath, this time at their hands, on the same streets of Kiev. This is an important point of this post.

Americans, exhausted as they emerge from the blood drenched folly of the Bush wars, might be attracted to some understandable yet dangerous wishful thinking. Worse, that same wishful thinking might entice some in the U.S. into the unsupportable expectation that Putin might actually host some sort of idealistic inclination to value peace and comity, but such an impulse would be an idealism which history would find quite incompatible with the grinding reality of historical Russian pragmatism.

If that wishful thinking leads Americans to presume that "escalation" in the Ukrainian "stand off" must be avoided at all costs, it is just that -- wishful thinking. Those not prepared to acknowledge that what is happening in Ukraine isn't a stand off, should be waiting in line to purchase a bridge from Chris Christie.

A Diplomatic Visit to Moscow
A French and German Exhumation of the "Minsk Accord"

The Minsk Accord which the parties adopted in September, 2014, established the framework for a cease fire between the military forces of the legitimate Kiev government and the separatists sponsored by the Russian Federation. However, Putin's tactical response to the agreement was to use it as an excuse to further delay any substantive change in the Federation's support policy for the "sponsored" separatists fighters in Ukraine.

After French President Hollande and German Chancellor Merkel consulted with Ukraine President Poroshenko, they left for Moscow and talks with Russian Federation President Putin. Lacking any political momentum for a larger agreement, the Minsk Accord's "cease fire lines" provided what meager structure there was for potential "common points of discussion." It turns out that Putin showed discouragingly little reluctance for simply placing the Accord in "abeyance" until such time as the agreement once again offered any advantage to the Federation -- should this ever occur -- in the future. [Read more here - NYTimes]

This has introduced a very sensitive "contradiction" for French and German policy makers. When the US initiated economic sanctions on the Russian Federation in response to the annexation of Crimea, our European "partners" were quite nervous about their Russian natural gas supplies. The "test of balance" now has become whether or not Europeans consider the gravity of Russian incursion into Ukraine great enough to merit causing more mayhem in the existing arrangements concerning their energy supplies.

The "Minsk cease fire zone" has now fallen far behind the front lines of the separatists' advances, and MeanMesa suspects that the Russian troops now occupying East Ukraine territory will show "curiously" little interest in retreating. In the last two months they have received heavy Russian armament -- specifically Russian tanks. armor personnel carriers and Howitzer-like field guns --which is designed primarily to establish and hold conquered real estate. [Read more  here - GermanDW] Undoubtedly, these weapons are accompanied with barnyard sized additions of small arms and ammunition. [Read more about the likely Russian heavy weapons in Ukraine  here - TheMoscowTimes The article's list of weapons includes the SA11 "Gadfly" BUK znti-aircraft missile system which shot down the Malaysian jet liner.]

In the end these considerations turned out to not really matter so much. Putin knows that every delay which can be extracted from the "diplomatic mission's" schedule enables even more Ukrainian territory to fall into the hands of his special forces "separatists." [Yes, you can quite reasonably call them "spetznas" ("спецназ") from Dolph Lundgren -Armold Schwarzenegger movie fame.] Hollande and Merkel made a very public point when they dutifully expressed their "priority interest" in avoiding more conflict if it were possible, but they said little about what their  follow up intentions might become if this were not possible. [Read more  here - TheGuardian]

The question relating to this "follow up" position now becomes one of utmost relevance with respect to speculating about the next phase of this on-going event. France and Germany both have very credible, well equipped, modern European militaries. Setting aside the inevitable political complications which would arise with such a move, both countries -- importantly, in a way more or less independent of NATO -- could equip or train Ukrainian forces with very effective results.

If the Russian special force regiments presently in East Ukraine were to enter into a combat engagement with French or German "military assistance parties," Putin knows that his "incursion gambit" would be running the risk of becoming a NATO issue. Some observers are currently suggesting that he wouldn't mind going a few rounds with the Europeans and luxuriating in the nationalist domestic popularity resulting from such a move, but MeanMesa's guess is quite the opposite.

The day after the Europeans -- or, collectively, NATO -- become involved in a "shooting war" with Ukraine's Russian invaders, the "doors of opportunity" in Putin's future strategic choices begin to close.

Here Comes What's Left of the Americans
The US oligarchs' take over may have crippled this giant super power, 
but she still has teeth.

And a Commander in Chief...

At first glimpse one would expect the Republicans -- famous for loving every war and subsequent blood bath that has ever materialized practically anywhere on the planet -- would be all over the potential show down in Ukraine like flies swarming on day old potato salad. 

[One might have also had a similar expectation about the six month old war in Iraq and Syria, but on that count the Congress has remained eerily silent on a potential "force authorization" through the conduct of over two thousand air strikes at the time of this post. If this "hesitation" is in response to orders from the Owners of the Republican Party to further attempt to discredit the President, could the same thing happen with matters in Ukraine?]

MeanMesa is confident that the Pentagon procurement contractors have long ago "bent the ears" of their deeply sponsored "friends" on the various GOP Congressional "war committees" to communicate just how wonderfully profitable a conflict in Ukraine might possibly be under the right conditions. The problem is that what the Obama Administration is proposing wouldn't be all that profitable. [This is a matter of comparison. Each of the 2,000 or so bombs dropped on ISIL in the last six months has cost us around $60,000. When the expense of an air craft carrier, jet fighter maintenance, fuel, theatre flight control administration, intelligence gathering, etc. are added, each "impact" could easily be a $150,000 "hit" to the DoD budget. The Iraq invasion was costing a billion dollars per week or more at its height -- much of it quite wasteful.]

This President has been extremely frugal in the exercise of his war making authority. On the occasions when he has used this power to "enter combat," he has been almost uniquely determined to do so with a coalition of other sensible allies -- allies heavily invested with ideas of international law, proportionality of response and, for the most part, the seasoned, mature decency found in nations with the cultural memory of wars fought on their home soil. Further, after discounting the inauthentic claims to the contrary, these occasions of entering combat have generally yielded successful results.

On the other hand it is no secret that the Pentagon procurement contractors -- and their suspiciously well fed Congressional lackeys -- want war with the spectacular excesses of maudlin propaganda, violence, expense and stupefying, bankrupt mismanagement we endured during the duplicitous Bush W. "wars." 

The resolution of Ukraine's present dilemma will not be like this, at least, it won't be like this by prior design. This will be quite a departure from the Iraq conflict which elevated Halliburton from near bankruptcy to a well heeled "emergency, no bid" contractor with $35 Bn in revenue.

The US Congress appears quite favorably inclined to authorize the President's draft "military action" proposal if the Republican "leadership" can pull the tea bags away from a dozen more bills to repeal ObamaCare. Secretary of State Kerry has been working with the Ukrainian government in Kiev to prepare a "wish list" of lethal US arms, and the Secretary of Defense [pending nomination at the time of this post] Carter has indicated that the Pentagon is prepared to act as soon as there is Congressional clearance.

Unlike those sponsored in other "nation building" adventures the US has undertaken recently, the Ukrainians are a proven, credible military with an impressive history. We should not anticipate anything similar to the frantic withdrawal of Iraqi forces in Mosul or the subsequent capture of significant US military equipment by enemy forces. The rebels in the East might be temporarily attracted to such an opportunity, but remember -- they already have plenty of Russian Federation fire power in their barns.

Once Ukraine is armed in the manner currently being discussed, one essential strategic objective will be to take control of the country's border with the Russian Federation. While there are all sorts of good tactical reasons for such a provocative move, we can anticipate that the Russians will be prepared to really "flex their muscle" to prevent it. The outcome of this conflict will pivot on control of that border.


It is easily conceivable that there will be fire from the Russian side of the border into Ukraine, and this could precipitate an additional "moment of truth" policy-wise.

Diplomatic pressure on Putin has not ever produced results before. Further, the Russian strategy is entirely geared to exploit delays in the inevitable Ukrainian "push back." Meanwhile, the Federation's arms shipments across the common border are escalating daily. The deployment of significant numbers of thinly disguised Russian special forces can be described in the same way.

President Obama is prepared to "go to the mat" with Vladimir Putin. There is essentially no international diplomatic price to be paid for arming an allied country to defend its sovereign territory from invasion, but once the East is secured, Kiev will undoubtedly want to revisit Crimea. Among those sympathetic or participating in the re-securing of the East, MeanMesa suspects that the more timid will be backing away from the conflict rather rapidly when it turns to Crimea.

Having said that, MeanMesa expects that the repatriation of Crimea is "doable," although there is no expectation that the process will be pretty. It will certainly not be a party attended by the faint at heart.

The House Resolution 758
Memo  To: V. Putin                                                   

Message: What part of this do you not understand?


Because MeanMesa has already properly informed visitors [in the title of this post...] that this was a "reader," there isn't any problem whatsoever with including the complete House of Representatives bill in its entirety. Although this House Resolution is a little "longish," MeanMesa would encourage everyone to thread all the way through the whole thing. [You can visit the original page  at Congress.gov]

Our allies in Ukraine are studying every word of this. So is Mr. Vladimir Putin.

Remember that the long narrative which follows is a resolution. It is not actual legislation which might in the future become law. Congressional resolutions, at least theoretically, are statements defining the sentiment or "resolve" of the Congress. As such, they serve as a sort of informal proclamation of what corresponding legislation might be if the matter moves forward. All the "Whereas-es" are the current presumptions, observations and conclusions which would serve to explain and justify such future legislation it it were to develop.

Further, listing the "Whereas-es" in this way provides the opportunity for someone such as the Foreign Minister of the Russian Federation to "counter" specific Congressional presumptions in the event that there is contradictory evidence available.

This is a high stakes game, the scale of which makes the events in Syria and Iraq appear almost frivolous. And, as usual, we dare not trust the domestic corporate media or, for that matter, the Congress for usable information about anything important or relevant, so reading through 758 is well worth the time.

H. Res. 758




In the House of Representatives, U. S.,



December 4, 2014. 

Whereas the Russian Federation has subjected Ukraine to a campaign of political, economic, and military aggression for the purpose of establishing its domination over the country and progressively erasing its independence;

Whereas the Russian Federation’s invasion of, and military operations on, Ukrainian territory represent gross violations of Ukraine's sovereignty, independence, and territorial integrity and a violation of international law, including the Russian Federation's obligations under the United Nations Charter;

Whereas the Russian Federation has, since February 2014, violated each of the 10 principles of the 1975 Helsinki Accords in its relations with Ukraine;

Whereas the Russian Federation’s forcible occupation and illegal annexation of Crimea and its continuing support for separatist and paramilitary forces in eastern Ukraine are violations of its obligations under the 1994 Budapest Memorandum on Security Assurances, in which it pledged to respect the independence and sovereignty and the existing borders of Ukraine, and to refrain from the threat or use of force against the territorial integrity or political independence of Ukraine;

Whereas the Russian Federation has provided military equipment, training, and other assistance to separatist and paramilitary forces in eastern Ukraine that has resulted in over 4,000 civilian deaths, hundreds of thousands of civilian refugees, and widespread destruction;

Whereas the Ukrainian military remains at a significant disadvantage compared to the armed forces of the Russian Federation in terms of size and technological sophistication;

Whereas the United States strongly supports efforts to assist Ukraine to defend its territory and sovereignty against military aggression by the Russian Federation and by separatist forces;

Whereas the terms of the cease-fire specified in the Minsk Protocol that was signed on September 5, 2014, by representatives of the Government of Ukraine, the Russian Federation, and the Russian-led separatists in the eastern area of Ukraine have been repeatedly violated by the Russian Federation and the separatist forces it supports;


Whereas separatist forces in areas they controlled in eastern Ukraine prevented the holding of elections on May 25, 2014, for a new President of Ukraine and on October 26, 2014, for a new Rada, [MeanMesa term definitionVerkhovna Rada of Ukraine (Верхо́вна Ра́да Украї́ни) - "Supreme Council of Ukraine" or Parliament of Ukraine ] thereby preventing the people of eastern Ukraine from exercising their democratic right to select their candidates for office in free and fair elections;


Whereas on November 2, 2014, separatist forces in eastern Ukraine held fraudulent and illegal elections in areas they controlled for the supposed purpose of choosing leaders of the illegitimate local political entities they have declared;

Whereas the Russian Federation continues to provide the military, political, and economic support without which the separatist forces could not continue to maintain their areas of control;

Whereas the reestablishment of peace and security in Ukraine requires the full withdrawal of Russian forces from Ukrainian territory, the resumption of the Government of Ukraine’s control over all of the country’s international borders, the disarming of the separatist and paramilitary forces in the east, an end to Russia’s use of its energy exports and trade barriers to apply economic and political pressure, and an end to Russian interference in Ukraine’s internal affairs;

Whereas Malaysia Airlines Flight 17, a civilian airliner, was destroyed by a missile fired by Russian-backed separatist forces in eastern Ukraine, resulting in the loss of 298 innocent lives;

Whereas the Russian Federation continues to supply the vast majority of arms purchases, which include anti-aircraft missile systems and other lethal weapons, to the Bashar Assad regime in Syria, a state sponsor of terrorism that is actively backed by Hezbollah, a sophisticated terrorist group hostile to the United States and its close allies;

Whereas the Russian Federation has protected the Assad regime and backed its brutal assault against the Syrian people;

Whereas the Russian Federation has used and is continuing to use coercive economic measures, including the manipulation of energy prices and supplies, as well as trade restrictions, to place political and economic pressure on Ukraine;

Whereas France agreed to sell to the Russian Federation two Mistral-class amphibious assault ships in 2011 for $1.7 billion;

Whereas Russian possession of these ships would be a destabilizing addition to the Russian military, which would likely have boosted its ability to invade Crimea;

Whereas given the Russian invasion of sovereign territory of the Republic of Ukraine in Crimea and elsewhere and its dangerous behavior throughout the region, France decided to suspend delivery of the Mistral-class warships to the Russian Federation;

Whereas purchase of the two Mistral-class warships by North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) countries would expand NATO’s capabilities, resolve France’s legitimate concern over the cost of the ships, and eliminate a potential threat to countries in Eastern Europe;

Whereas the Russian Federation invaded the Republic of Georgia in August 2008, continues to station military forces in the regions of Abkhazia and South Ossetia, and is implementing measures intended to progressively integrate these regions into the Russian Federation, including by signing a “treaty” between Georgia’s Abkhazia Region and the Russian Federation on November 24, 2014;

Whereas the Russian Federation continues to subject the Republic of Georgia to political and military intimidation, economic coercion, and other forms of aggression in an effort to establish its control of the country and to prevent Georgia from establishing closer relations with the European Union and the United States;

Whereas the Russian Federation continues to station military forces in the Transniestria region of Moldova in violation of the express will of the Government of Moldova and of its Organization for Security and Co-operation in Europe (OSCE) commitments;

Whereas the Russian Federation continues to provide support to the illegal separatist regime in the Transniestria region of Moldova;

Whereas the Russian Federation continues to subject Moldova to political and military intimidation, economic coercion, and other forms of aggression in an effort to establish its control of the country and to prevent efforts by Moldova to establish closer relations with the European Union and the United States;

Whereas the Russian Federation acceded to the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces (INF) Treaty obligation of the Union of Soviet Socialist Republics in a declaration issued at Bishkek, Kyrgyzstan, in October 1992;

Whereas under the terms of the INF Treaty, a flight-test or deployment of any INF-banned weapon delivery vehicle by the Russian Federation constitutes a militarily significant violation of the INF Treaty;

Whereas on April 2, 2014, the Commander, U.S. European Command, and Supreme Allied Commander Europe, General Breedlove, stated that, “A weapon capability that violates the INF, that is introduced into the greater European land mass is absolutely a tool that will have to be dealt with * * *. I would not judge how the alliance will choose to react, but I would say they will have to consider what to do about it * * *. It can’t go unanswered.”;

Whereas on July 29, 2014, the United States Department of State released its report on the Adherence to and Compliance with Arms Control, Nonproliferation, and Disarmament Agreements and Commitments, as required by Section 403 of the Arms Control and Disarmament Act, for calendar year 2013, which found that, “[t]he United States has determined that the Russian Federation is in violation of its obligations under the INF Treaty not to possess, produce, or flight-test a ground-launched cruise missile (GLCM) with a range capability of 500 km to 5,500 km, or to possess or produce launchers of such missiles”;

Whereas concerns also exist with respect to a new Russian ballistic missile, the RS–26, which, according to reports, has been tested on multiple occasions at intermediate ranges, and in different configurations, which would be covered by the interpretative statements the United States Senate relied upon when it ratified the INF Treaty in May 1988;

Whereas the Russian Federation has requested the approval of new sensors and new aircraft to be flown over the United States and Europe as part of the Treaty on Open Skies, and serious concerns have been raised regarding impacts to United States national security if such approval is given;

Whereas on November 11, 2014, the Commander, U.S. European Command, and Supreme Allied Commander Europe, General Breedlove, stated that, Russian forces “capable of being nuclear” are being moved to the Crimea Peninsula;

Whereas according to reports, the Government of the Russian Federation has repeatedly engaged in the infiltration of, and attacks on, computer networks of the United States Government, as well as individuals and private entities, for the purpose of illicitly acquiring information and disrupting operations, including by supporting Russian individuals and entities engaged in these actions;

Whereas the political, military, and economic aggression against Ukraine and other countries by the Russian Federation underscores the enduring importance of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) as the cornerstone of collective Euro-Atlantic defense;

Whereas the United States reaffirms its obligations under the North Atlantic Treaty, especially Article 5 which states that “an armed attack against one or more” of the treaty signatories “shall be considered an attack against them all”;

Whereas the Russian Federation is continuing to use its supply of energy as a means of political and economic coercion against Ukraine, Georgia, Moldova, and other European countries;

Whereas the United States strongly supports energy diversification initiatives in Ukraine, Georgia, Moldova, and other European countries to reduce the ability of the Russian Federation to use its supply of energy for political and economic coercion, including the development of domestic sources of energy, increased efficiency, and substituting Russian energy resources with imports from other countries;

Whereas the Russian Federation continues to conduct an aggressive propaganda effort in Ukraine in which false information is used to subvert the authority of the legitimate national government, undermine stability, promote ethnic dissension, and incite violence;

Whereas the Russian Federation has expanded the presence of its state-sponsored media in national languages across central and western Europe with the intent of using news and information to distort public opinion and obscure Russian political and economic influence in Europe;

Whereas expanded efforts by United States international broadcasting across all media in the Russian and Ukrainian languages are needed to counter Russian propaganda and to provide the people of Ukraine and the surrounding regions with access to credible and balanced information;

Whereas the Voice of America and Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty (RFE/RL), Incorporated continue to represent a minority market share in Ukraine and other regional states with significant ethno-linguistic Russian populations who increasingly obtain their local and international news from Russian state-sponsored media outlets;

Whereas the United States International Programming to Ukraine and Neighboring Regions Act of 2014 (Public Law 113–96) requires the Voice of America and RFE/RL, Incorporated to provide programming content to target populations in Ukraine and Moldova 24 hours a day, 7 days a week, including at least 8 weekly hours of total original video and television content and 14 weekly hours of total audio content while expanding cooperation with local media outlets and deploying greater content through multimedia platforms and mobile devices; and

Whereas Vladimir Putin has established an increasingly authoritarian regime in the Russian Federation through fraudulent elections, the persecution and jailing of political opponents, the elimination of independent media, the seizure of key sectors of the economy and enabling supporters to enrich themselves through widespread corruption, and implementing a strident propaganda campaign to justify Russian aggression against other countries and repression in Russia, among other actions: Now, therefore, be it

Resolved, That the House of Representatives —

(1) strongly supports the efforts by President Poroshenko and the people of Ukraine to establish a lasting peace in their country that includes the full withdrawal of Russian forces from the territory of Ukraine, full control of Ukraine’s international borders, the disarming of separatist and paramilitary forces in eastern Ukraine, the adoption of policies to reduce the ability of the Russian Federation to use energy exports and trade barriers as weapons to apply economic and political pressure, and an end to interference by the Russian Federation in the internal affairs of Ukraine;

(2) affirms the right of Ukraine, Georgia, Moldova, and all countries to exercise their sovereign rights within their internationally recognized borders free from outside intervention, and to conduct their foreign policy in accordance with their determination of the best interests of their peoples;

(3) condemns the continuing political, economic, and military aggression by the Russian Federation against Ukraine, Georgia, and Moldova and the continuing violation of their sovereignty, independence, and territorial integrity;

(4) states that the military intervention by the Russian Federation in Ukraine—

(A) is in breach of its obligations under the United Nations Charter;

(B) is in clear violation of each of the 10 principles of the 1975 Helsinki Accords;

(C) is in violation of the 1994 Budapest Memorandum on Security Assurances in which it pledged to respect the independence, sovereignty, and existing borders of Ukraine and to refrain from the threat of the use of force against the territorial integrity or political independence of Ukraine; and

(D) poses a threat to international peace and security;

(5) calls on the Russian Federation to reverse its illegal annexation of Crimea, to end its support of the separatist forces in Crimea, and to remove its military forces from that region other than those operating in strict accordance with its 1997 agreement on the Status and Conditions of the Black Sea Fleet Stationing on the Territory of Ukraine;

(6) calls on the President to cooperate with United States allies and partners in Europe and other countries around the world to refuse to recognize any de jure or de facto sovereignty of the Russian Federation over Crimea, its airspace, or its territorial waters;

(7) calls on the Russian Federation to remove its military forces and military equipment from the territory of Ukraine, Georgia, and Moldova, and to end its political, military, and economic support of separatist forces;

(8) calls on the Russian Federation and the separatist forces it supports and controls in Ukraine to end their violations of the cease-fire announced in Minsk on September 5, 2014;

(9) calls on the President to cooperate with United States allies and partners in Europe and other countries around the world to impose visa bans, targeted asset freezes, sectoral sanctions, and other measures on the Russian Federation and its leadership with the goal of compelling it to end its violation of Ukraine’s sovereignty and territorial integrity, to remove its military forces and equipment from Ukrainian territory, and to end its support of separatist and paramilitary forces;

(10) calls on the President to provide the Government of Ukraine with lethal and non-lethal defense articles, services, and training required to effectively defend its territory and sovereignty;

(11) calls on the President to provide the Government of Ukraine with appropriate intelligence and other relevant information in a timely manner to assist the Government of Ukraine to defend its territory and sovereignty;

(12) calls on North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) allies and United States partners in Europe and other nations around the world to suspend all military cooperation with Russia, including prohibiting the sale to the Russian Government of lethal and non-lethal military equipment;

(13) reaffirms the commitment of the United States to its obligations under the North Atlantic Treaty, especially Article 5, and calls on all Alliance member states to provide their full share of the resources needed to ensure their collective defense;

(14) urges the President, in consultation with Congress, to conduct a review of the force posture, readiness, and responsibilities of United States Armed Forces and the forces of other members of NATO to determine if the contributions and actions of each are sufficient to meet the obligations of collective self-defense under Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty and to specify the measures needed to remedy any deficiencies;

(15) welcomes the decision of France to indefinitely suspend the delivery of the Mistral-class warships to the Russian Federation and urges the United States, France, NATO, and other partners to engage in consultations and consider all alternative acquisition options for such warships which would not include transfer of the ships to the Russian Federation;

(16) urges the President to publicly hold the Russian Federation accountable for violations of its obligations under the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces (INF) Treaty and to take action to bring the Russian Federation back into compliance with the Treaty;

(17) urges the President to work with Asian, European, and other allies to develop a comprehensive strategy to ensure the Russian Federation is not able to gain any benefit by its development of military systems that violate the INF Treaty;

(18) believes the emplacement by the Russian Federation of its nuclear weapons on Ukrainian territory would constitute a provocative and destabilizing move;

(19) calls on Ukraine and other countries to support energy diversification initiatives to reduce the ability of the Russian Federation to use its energy exports as a means of applying political or economic pressure, including by promoting energy efficiency and reverse natural gas flows from Western Europe, and calls on the United States to promote increased natural gas exports and energy efficiency;

(20) calls on the President and the United States Department of State to develop a strategy for multilateral coordination to produce or otherwise procure and distribute news and information in the Russian language to countries with significant Russian-speaking populations which maximizes the use of existing platforms for content delivery such as the Voice of America and Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty (RFE/RL), Incorporated, leverages indigenous public-private partnerships for content production, and seeks in-kind contributions from regional state governments;

(21) calls on the United States Department of State to identify positions at key diplomatic posts in Europe to evaluate the political, economic, and cultural influence of Russia and Russian state-sponsored media and to coordinate with host governments on appropriate responses;

(22) calls on the Russian Federation to cease its support for the Assad regime in Syria;

(23) calls on the President to publicly and privately demand the Russian Federation cease its destabilizing behavior at every opportunity and in every engagement between the United States and its officials and the Russian Federation and its officials;

(24) calls upon the Russian Federation to seek a mutually beneficial relationship with the United States that is based on respect for the independence and sovereignty of all countries and their right to freely determine their future, including their relationship with other nations and international organizations, without interference, intimidation, or coercion by other countries; and

(25) calls for the reestablishment of a close and cooperative relationship between the people of the United States and the Russian people based on the shared pursuit of democracy, human rights, and peace among all nations.

Attest

Clerk.  

A Russian Federation Propaganda Sampler

It's usually a good idea to pay at least a passing attention to the propaganda being broadcast in an affair such as the Russian incursion into Ukraine. Without poking around the GOOGLE for very long at all, MeanMesa located this little Russian jewel. [The GOOGLE auto translator did a fair job with dropping this into English, and MeanMesa cleaned up a few "loose ends" to make it readable. The old "sharpness" of  MeanMesa's Russian is suffering from decades of disuse.]

This Russian propaganda is playing a major role in terms of controlling Russian Federation popular opinion, and it has served to constantly embolden the Russian sponsored "separatists" in East Ukraine. While there is little to suggest that "Fact Military" represents a "front line" propaganda outlet within the Federation, MeanMesa finds that its remote "location" -- perhaps quite removed from the  more official sources -- somehow validates its folksy treatment of affairs and provides a "window" through which the "common line" of Putin's narrative may be seen.

MeanMesa suspects that such content is the daily rhetoric among Russian Federation citizens, now so propagandized by the Kremlin's relentless misinformation campaign that few voices still challenge the veracity -- or even the respectable intentions -- of such a source.

Fact Military
[Дело в том военный]
Information warfare around the events in Ukraine (2014)

[Excerpted. Read the entire article  here. Translate the entire article using the GOOGLE translator. Right click. Words to be deleted from the auto-translation are noted as {pink} while words replacing these mis-translations are noted in [green]. Un-interpreted content is shown in [blue.]

Ukrainian and Western media have sought to interpret any declarations [by the] military and political leadership of the Russian Federation for the protection of the rights of Russian-speaking population of Ukraine as a threat of military intervention, drawing parallels with the Georgian-South Ossetian conflict, in which Moscow was given the role of the aggressor.


Information hysteria around the actions of the Armed Forces and the Navy of the Russian Federation clearly demonstrated the British "Daily {Mail} [Mail's" intention to] scare readers [with phrases such as] {titled} "Bear in the backyard," Cold War "returns". {Thus} [This is how the] publication described the passage of a group of Russian warships led by the aircraft carrier "Admiral Kuznetsov" through the English Channel. In general, almost every incident {with the advent of the} [in which] Russian ships or aircraft in neutral territory resonates in the press {mentioning} [with a mention of] the "Cold War."

An important area Russophobian information policy of Ukrainian authorities as rising tensions in the South East of the country was {accused} [accusing] Moscow [of] subversion and destabilization of the situation in the border areas. Ukrainian media reported mass detentions {while} [of Russian secret service] attempting to cross the border {and} directly {on} [into] the territory of Ukraine {the Russian secret service}. As evidence {demonstrated },[photographs showing] openly staged shots, which have "saboteurs" {were removed nonexistent identity "scouts"} [with identity patches removed] and ridiculous weapons. According to statements of Ukrainian border guards, every other [one of every two] detainee admitted to {work in} [working for] the intelligence services of Russia and gave the names of other agents. It should be noted that such a provocative {work of} [effort by] the Ukrainian authorities {and they} [who] control the media was so rough and implausible that [the reporting] did not find the {unconditional support of} [credible acceptance by the media in] the West.

Fact Military
27/01/2015 NATO refused to Ukraine to solve territorial issues 
[NATO refuses Ukraine membership until territorial issues are solved]

[Excerpted. Read the entire article  here. The same caveats apply with respect to both translations and re-interpretations.]


© Lenta.ru , the North Atlantic Alliance will not accept Ukraine as a member as long as the country does not solve all of {their} [its] territorial disputes. This was stated by Director of the NATO Information Office in Moscow Robert Pszczel [on] the radio {station} [program] "Moscow speaking."

"Joining the Alliance - it's always a long-term process -- [although] Ukraine {even such application is filed} [has previously filed such an application]. In recent years, the Ukrainian authorities, so to speak, changed {his} [this] approach, saying that the country does not want to be considered bezblokovoy ["without a bloc"]. {In this state,} [Ukraine] as well as everyone in Europe has the right to choose, but today this issue is not even worth it ", - said Pszczel.

[Read more about Robert Pszczel here - DLD/NATO/Moscow]

The Mythical Fortress and The Mythical Victims
A closer look at the "Russian Speaking People" in Ukraine

If one initiates a GOOGLE image search in hopes of finding a map of Ukraine showing the current tactical locations and fronts between the parties in this civil war, he will find that most of what is recovered will be either maps of which portions of the country voted one way or the other in the recent election or maps of which portions of the country are populated by primarily Russian speaking Ukrainians.

This is an important point for one central reason. The division in the country is repeatedly explained as the division between those citizens who speak Ukrainian and those who speak Russian. As one digs through the glacial Federation propaganda on this matter, the reference to "Russian speaking" Ukrainians gradually morphs into a what is proposed as a legitimate technique for identifying  those "Ukrainians who need Russian Federation protection."

Once the propaganda argument has drifted to its simplified form, its premise becomes that Ukrainians in the East need Russian Federation protection because they are Russian speakers.

Although this becomes more and more flimsy with rational consideration, it turns out that precisely this ideas is capable of attracting significant traction among the Federation's nationalist populations. Further, Vladimir Putin has "pulled out all the stops" with respect to "juicing up" this incendiary Russian nationalism for his own purposes.

Included in this embarrassingly amateurish scheme are claims that Russia must aggressively strive to restore its international national pride and respect as a powerful nation -- including the annexation of a few unwilling neighbors. This effort is also advanced by the furtive insinuation that the reconstruction of a modern version of the Soviet empire is validated by the Russian equivalent of "manifest destiny" -- a "destiny" which begins by absorbing Crimea and continues from there with slicing off a nice chunk of what remains of Ukraine.

The whole scheme has a sickening similarity of the German "repatriation" of the Sudetenland in the beginning of WWII. Putin's propaganda claims that Kiev is controlled by Nazis may amount to the ultimate irony of the 21st Century. The Reich insisted that German speaking residents in Sudetenland were being oppressed in ways that only a violent military repatriation could resolve.

Whatever the thoughts driving such ambitions in the Kremlin, MeanMesa presumes that this kind of bald faced expansionism has little chance of ever being tacitly acceptable to Europe, NATO or the United States.

MeanMesa's compliments to the President.