Showing posts with label Daily KOS. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Daily KOS. Show all posts

Friday, January 2, 2015

2015: GOP Attack is Imminent. Shelter as possible.

 Shelter as possible.
Too bad there isn't any shelter...
circle the wagons!

They're not coming. They're here. [image source]    
As Americans we can now stand by to see what the 2014 mid term elections will do to the nation. With the oligarchs now firmly in control of the Congress, we can anticipate that the central focus will be on money -- in all places, belonging to anyone and now identified specifically only by what difficulty will be required to move it from where ever it may be presently into the off shore pockets of the plutocrats.

There will be the usual, visible issues -- the perennial "favorites" -- of union busting, exporting jobs, the Keystone XL pipeline, repealing the ACA, deregulating pollution, "Wall Streeting" Social Security, eliminating banking regulations and so forth, but, beyond these "red herrings," there will also be what MeanMesa describes as "structural" attacks on the now slowly revitalizing economy.

While the very mention of "structural" may usher in an unpleasant expectation of complicated economic policy concepts, there is little to be gained from inserting too much of the academic analysis here. Instead, let's define "structural" aspects of the economy simply as concepts with definitions which are complex beyond the limited capabilities of the GOP base's addled comprehension.

If she can't understand it, the GOP will have smooth sailing.
While it may seem that the GOP's options are essentially without limit at this dismal juncture, we must remember that one remaining  requirement to "keep this thing going" is to carry elections in the Party's direly gerrymandered Congressional districts. While unlimited billionaire financing and an obedient Supreme Court are certainly helpful, there are, actually, still lines which must not be crossed -- not even with the GOP's base.

Happily, for the think tank "fact twisters," the issues demarcating these lines are very, very, exceptionally simple. If Sean Hannity cannot "explain" one of these "issues" entirely in less than 300 words -- all with fewer than three syllables, -- it simply does not exist for the GOP's base, and there is no possibility whatsoever that such an "issue" will ever have even the least, tiny, insignificant impact imaginable on how the GOP's zombie-like base will continue to vote.

The Republican tea bags will be drawling the same vile ideology they always drawl, but the "real work" ordered by the owners of the GOP will be quietly directed at these "structural" targets. Safely assuming that -- in the minds of these oligarchs -- money is everything, these "structural" targets are just as irresistible to them as a "heroin and cheap sex sandwich after a night of out of control binge drinking."

You can already hear Wall Street salivating from as far away as the Bowery.

Flummoxing the "Man on the Street"
Maximum complication
It's just more politics...
Both Party's are the same...

For those who routinely visit a blog such as this one understanding the grave importance of these "structural targets" is not the least bit overwhelming in terms of complexity or relevance, but the average American voter has been incessantly bombarded with the idea that such matters are "beyond him" and, worse, "don't really affect his affairs." For what the oligarchs are now scheming, this self-acknowledged, uncertainty and prevailing avoidance is "money in the bank."

The GOP's "structural targets:"
Gutting the IRS
Cooking the Books
Holding the Debt Ceiling Hostage (Again)

Every side of these policy "propositions" is hard to explain to the barely informed "man on the street" -- especially if he has been relying on the "objectivity" of the domestic corporate media for a fair shot at understanding them. 

In fact, matters grow even more discouraging when one realizes that not only the oligarchs [most of whom not only hold masses of stock interest but also occupy seats on the boards of directors for these media corporations] but also the ratings of the media themselves stand to benefit from the damage, fear and chaos which will accompany the more material economic damage to be inflicted on these "structural targets."

The owners of the Republican Party have selected these nearly invisible tactical objectives quite strategically. If large numbers of the electorate were suddenly to be well informed about the matters, not even the tormented gerrymandering and the mass red state disenfranchisement could be trusted to dependably deliver the next horde of low information base votes.

Well, MeanMesa had in mind a post which would deal specifically with the second of the three "targets." However, while researching material for that post, this remarkably educational DailyKOS article "popped" up on the Google. That CBO post has already been begun, but this DailyKOS article is simply too informative to be "sliced and diced" and left on Short Current Essay's cutting room floor.

MeanMesa doesn't enjoy and secret knowledge which might provide an empirical method to estimate the scope of this time's planned economic looting or a timetable which might suggest how long we have before the oligarchs, once again, implode the national economy. At various times in recent posts, MeanMesa has noted that the typical "performance" of GOP Congressional control usually results in around a $1.25 Tn increase in the national debt per year.

Two months of the 2008 Republican implosion and collapse resulted in a 40% reduction of wealth for those citizens who still had some wealth. The deficit sky rocketed [By 2008 it was already sky high thanks to Bush W. and his cronies]. The Obama administration pushed through an $800 Bn stimulus, but the cash part of that was dwarfed by the invisible "making counter parties whole" monster lurking out of sight in the Federal Reserve's shadows.

MeanMesa's "best guess" is that what's approaching this time will be exponentially more severe. So, forget about a 2018 economic recovery. Take a look at the DailyKOS article. [Visit the original article here - DailyKOS]



attribution: CBPP/Perrspectives

As 2014 comes to a close, the American economy is finally starting to take off

The U.S. gross domestic product (GDP) surged by five percent in the third quarter, the best performance since 2003. Employers hired 321,000 more workers in November, marking the 57th consecutive month of private sector job gains. With unemployment down to 5.8 percent, long-stagnant wages are now showing signs of edging up. Plummeting gas prices and record stock prices are putting more money in Americans' pockets and bank accounts. Meanwhile, federal tax revenues have exceeded forecasts even as spending is flat (as it has been throughout the Obama presidency), resulting in shrinking deficits. It's no wonder consumer confidence is at its highest level in seven years. 

But with Barack Obama's approval numbers on the upswing, the new Republican majorities in the House and Senate have a simple message for the president and his Democratic allies: Nice economy you have there; it would be a shame if anything happened to it.


That's right. With their toxic combination of bad budgeting, bad math and bad faith, Republicans are once again threatening to cripple the federal government and derail the American economy in 2015 in three different ways:

  • Gutting the IRS
  • Cooking the Books
  • Holding the Debt Ceiling Hostage (Again)

Gutting the IRS


The GOP's gangster approach to government starts, but certainly doesn't end, with gutting the budget of the Internal Revenue Service (IRS). As Politico reported, in the just complete "CRomnibus" spending bill, Congressional Republicans once again took an axe to their least favorite government agency:

Spending negotiators this week froze most agency budgets but reduced the IRS funds to $10.9 billion, a 3 percent cut over last year and $1.5 billion below the president's request. Appropriators bragged in a release that the level is even lower than the IRS's 2008 budget. 
Those new cuts come atop more than a $1 billion reduction to the IRS budget since 2010, which has forced the tax-collecting agency to shed 13,000 employees while it serves an additional 7 million taxpayers, according to IRS Commissioner John Koskinen.
The results of this right-wing temper tantrum are as predictable as they are counterproductive. IRS customer service will continue its steady erosion. Even before the cuts, only 53 percent of taxpayers calling the agency for help were projected to even get through, while wait times were forecast to grow to 34 minutes. IRS Commissioner John Koskinen warned that the tax collector may have to resort to furloughs and shutdowns to balance its own books, painful steps which could delay taxpayers' refund checks. Meanwhile, the government's ability to prevent, detect and punish tax cheats, frauds and evaders will be further curtailed, with the result that the estimated $500 billion "tax gap" between what Americans owe Uncle Sam each year and what they actually pay will continue to grow.



As it turns out, the House GOP caucus was only delivering on RNC Chairman Reince Priebus' April promise that "we're done playing footsie here with the IRS" over its supposed scandals. But the real scandal is that Republicans and their conservative amen corner have for decades been doing something much worse to the IRS. 

After their successful 1990s crusade to defang the Internal Revenue Service, the GOP is once again slashing its budget, demonizing its employees and even questioning the legitimacy of its mission. With its funding cut by Congress for five years in a row, the agency now has 10 percent fewer agents and officers than five years ago and fewer agents auditing returns than at any time since at least the 1980s. Even as congressional Republicans have blocked Obama administration efforts to end "inversions" that enable American corporations to move overseas to avoid paying taxes, the Government Accountability Office reported an epidemic of tax dodging by small businesses. The result is that the tax gap has mushroomed to an estimated $500 billion from $195 billion in 1998. To put that in context, that's roughly equal to the entire projected federal budget deficit for the past year.


By punishing the IRS for scandals that did not materialize and for simply doing its job in managing Obamacare tax credits and penalties, the GOP has opted for a "penny-wise, pound-foolish" policy of the worst kind. The IRS has repeatedly explained that each additional dollar added to its budget produces between 7 and 10 times more revenue for the United States Treasury. As Ezra Klein pointed out when House Republicans first slashed the IRS budget in 2011:

Converting dollar bills into $10 bills is an excellent way to pay off your credit card. Except, it seems, if you're a House Republican.
In the summer of 2013, then House Majority Leader Eric Cantor (R-VA) announced his party's intent to slash IRS by 25 percent, a move even Charles Krauthammer called "silly and small." (As IRS chief Koskinen warned Congress, "I have not figured out either philosophically or psychologically why nobody seems to care whether we collect the revenue or not.") Confessed tax cheat Michael Grimm (R-NY) is the perfect face of what Jonathan Cohn aptly labeled the "pro-deficits, pro-tax evasion" party. 

Meanwhile, as National Taxpayer Advocate Nina Olsen warned in November:

"Unless we are able to correct this, very bad things will happen to taxpayers."
Cooking the Books
Preventing Uncle Sam from collecting tax revenue is one sure way to starve the government and increase budget deficits. Another is to systematically overestimate how much revenue federal taxes will generate in the first place. And by all indications, that's precisely what the new GOP majority in Congress plans to do beginning in 2015.


That's the meaning of the GOP's twin decisions to demand so-called "dynamic scoring" of budget legislation and to replace the well-respected head of the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office, Doug Elmendorf.


Over the years, Elmendorf has established a reputation as an even-handed, no-drama authority whose budget estimates have both helped and hurt (especially on the $10.10 minimum wage proposal) President Obama's agenda. It's precisely because of that credibility that some Republicans, notably including the American Enterprise Institute and Bush economists Gregory Mankiw and Douglas Holtz-Eakin, want the new GOP Congress to keep Doug Elmendorf on for another term at CBO.


But as the New York Times reported, Grover Norquist, the Heritage Foundation, the Wall Street Journal and others in the "tax cuts pay for themselves" crowd want to replace Elmendorf with a compliant GOP ideologue. While AEI's Michael R. Strain gushed "Doug Elmendorf has been so exceptional, he seems to be trying as hard as possible to give a fair, unbiased review of academic literature on all these issues:"
Not so, say the most ardent conservatives, who want Mr. Elmendorf, a former Federal Reserve economist, replaced as soon as his term ends on Jan. 3. Grover G. Norquist, the small-government, low-tax activist at Americans for Tax Reform, has prominently laid out an indictment that includes putting a supposedly inaccurate price tag on the Affordable Care Act and Mr. Elmendorf's "failed Keynesian economic analysis." 
Dan Holler, a spokesman for Heritage Action, the political arm of the Heritage Foundation, agreed. "It would be absurd for a Republican-controlled Congress to keep Elmendorf at the helm of the C.B.O," he said. "For a party looking to change the culture in Washington, this would be a good place to start."
Especially if the culture Republicans want to change is one of honesty and fidelity to the truth. 

Now, Republicans painted a target on the CBO long ago. When the agency in 2011 concluded that repealing Obamacare would increase the national debt, Eric Cantor called it "budget gimmickry." Then the 2012 GOP presidential front-runner went even further, declaring "if you are serious about real health reform, you must abolish the Congressional Budget Office because it lies." But it is on the subject of tax cuts that CBO scorekeeping has burst the most Republican blood vessels.

Ever since Paul Ryan introduced his "Path to Prosperity" budget, the incoming House Ways and Means Committee Chairman has faced the same $6 trillion, 10-year hole. After simple math showed that his tax-cut windfall for the wealthy would add trillions to the national debt, Ryan among other conservatives decided to change the way the CBO does math.

As Lori Montgomery of the Washington Post explained last month, the man Charles Pierce calls the "zombie-eyed granny starver" plans to change the way the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office calculates the impact of tax cuts:

Earlier this year, Camp released a tax reform draft that showed the enormous difficulty of achieving Ryan's goal of getting tax rates down to 25 percent. 
Ryan has said it would be easier to hit that target if the Congressional Budget Office used a process called "dynamic scoring" to measure broad effects on the economy when judging tax legislation. While CBO already uses dynamic scoring on a limited basis, Ryan said Wednesday he will have additional recommendations in the new Congress "for making sure we take these things into consideration."
As the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities (CBPP) warned in response, "Budget and tax plans should not rely on 'dynamic scoring' because the estimates it produces are "highly uncertain and subject to manipulation." Which is precisely why Paul Ryan and his Republican allies want to change the way math itself works as soon as they control both chambers of Congress. And if they succeed, voodoo economics will become a feature, not a bug. 
 
In September, Ryan promised the Wall Street group, the Financial Services Roundtable, "I'd like to improve our scorekeeping so it better reflects reality." By "improve our scorekeeping," Ryan means forcing the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office (CBO) to change the way it forecasts (or "scores") the impact of tax and budget legislation. And by "better reflects reality," Paul Ryan means rigging the outcome so GOP tax-cutting bills don't appear to hemorrhage the red ink they inevitably must. As The Hill reported:
Ryan said if Republicans take control of the Senate, they will be able to calculate the price tag of legislation differently. Republicans have long pushed for the Congressional Budget Office to use "dynamic scoring" when calculating the costs of legislation. Currently, the CBO scores legislation using static scoring, which does not take into account how behavioral changes brought on by legislation could in turn alter how much a particular provision costs. 
But Ryan and Republicans argue that adopting a new scoring method would make it easier to adopt revenue-neutral policies, and also paint a more accurate picture. If the GOP controlled Congress, they could change the calculation methods employed by the CBO.
"The scorekeeping we use is not correct," he said.
Ryan's crusade to magically whitewash red ink has been a Republican cause for decades. To one degree or another, pretty much every major Republican tax cut scheme from Reagan in 1980, Dole in 1996 and Bush in 2000 to Mitt Romney in 2012 and Paul Ryan's "Path to Prosperity" budget have claimed that the hemorrhage of revenue for the U.S. Treasury from their gargantuan tax cut windfalls for the gilded-class would be offset by "macroeconomic feedback," or bigger collections from a supposedly surging economy. Without resorting to the sleight of hand that is dynamic scoring, these GOP budgets invariably produce red ink as far as the eye can see. That's why House Republicans last proposed H.R. 3582 (the "Pro-Growth Budgeting Act") to require that the CBO estimates also use dynamic scoring to incorporate "supply-side assumptions about the growth-generating magic of tax cuts into official budget estimates, enabling conservatives to evade the deficit-boosting implications (and various congressional barriers that come along with them) of their pet proposals for reducing the tax burden of 'job creators.'" 



Most analysts have encouraged the Congressional Budget Office and other forecasters to steer clear of dynamic scoring for two very compelling reasons. First, there's no consensus on how to model it, making the process ripe for manipulation and political chicanery. As former deputy assistant director for tax policy at the Congressional Budget Office and current fellow at the Tax Policy Center Roberton Williams warned:

"We really don't understand the science well enough to do it right. The assumption built into the model determines, in large part, what comes out of the model. There's going to be conflict unless there's some agreement on what ought to go in."
But it's not just that "there's a great deal of uncertainty" about "the right way to model things," as TPC's Donald Marron put it. There's also the matter of the historical record: for over 30 years, bogus conservative claims about the revenue-increasing effects of tax cuts have been proven cataclysmically wrong. 
Warning! Hill billies who have already sold out to their billionaire masters should NOT be running the economy.

It's worth noting that current conservative economic propagandist and former McCain economic adviser Douglas Holtz-Eakin couldn't make the dynamic scoring alchemy work for the Bush administration, either:

In 2003, Doug Holtz-Eakin was appointed by Republicans to lead the CBO during the Bush years, and he came under intense pressure to use more dynamic analyses. But studies he commissioned found that dynamic scoring was devilishly complicated and wouldn't lead to drastically different estimates. As he explained in a 2011 hearing before the House Ways and Means Committee, "it is unlikely to change the bottom line very much over the budget window."
Despite the bitter experience of the Bush years, Mitt Romney made the same GOP shell game part of his tax plan in 2012. As Ezra Klein suggested in "The Dynamic Dodge in Romney's Budget," Mitt's scheme once again resurrected David Stockman's "magic asterisk:"
As a matter of theory, stronger economic growth could make Romney's plan work...if Romney really could double or triple the pace of economic growth, it would be much easier to make his numbers add up...
The technical term for the secret sauce that Romney is using in his budget projections is "dynamic scoring." The idea is that tax cuts make the economy grow faster. They make people work harder. They persuade rich people to stop hiding money away. And thus they don't cost as much as a "static analysis" -- one that didn't take into account all these effects -- would suggest.
As it turns out, Romney's 20 percent tax cut plan was basically the same one Bob Dole ran on—and lost on—in 1996. And the architect of that debacle, former Reagan Treasury official Bruce Bartlett, has long since recanted his support for the "dynamic scoring" at the heart of virtually every Republican tax plan. As Bartlett put it in 2012:
As the budget deficit increasingly inhibits Republicans' tax-cutting, they are planning ahead for tax cuts that they will insist are costless because they will so massively increase growth. But for that approach to work, the C.B.O. and the Joint Committee on Taxation, Congress's official budget and tax estimators, need to be forced to play along... 
My concern is that the Republican effort is just a smokescreen to incorporate phony-baloney factors into revenue estimates to justify unlimited tax cutting...In other words, it is an issue of credibility. Republicans don't really care about accurate revenue estimates; they just want them to show that tax cuts pay for themselves, so they can pass more of them without constraint.
Constraints, that is, like the facts, the truth and the unchangeable principles of basic math. That's why Paul Ryan wants to rename the new math he and his GOP friends demand the Congressional Budget Office use:
"He also noted that he prefers the term 'reality-based scoring' over 'dynamic scoring.'"
Holding the Debt Ceiling Hostage (Again)
If the past 35 years have confirmed the inconvenient truth that Republicans' tax cuts have produced red ink as far as the eye can see, reality has another well-known liberal bias as well. Refusing to raise the debt ceiling, as both parties routinely did until 2011, will trigger a U.S. sovereign default and with it a global economic cataclysm.

You don't have to take my word for it. Just ask Republican leaders like Rep. Paul Ryan (R-WI), Senator Lindsey Graham (R-SC) and House Speaker John Boehner. 

In 2011, Ryan acknowledged that "you can't not raise the debt ceiling." Graham warned "the consequences for the entire global economy" resulting from a first-ever American default "would be catastrophic." Four years ago, Speaker-elect John Boehner issued this dire assessment if Congress did not increase Uncle Sam's borrowing authority to pay bills the federal government had already incurred:
"That would be a financial disaster, not only for our country but for the worldwide economy. Remember, the American people on Election Day said, 'we want to cut spending and we want to create jobs.' And you can't create jobs if you default on the federal debt."
Nevertheless, four years after Boehner's warning and 42 months after Standard & Poor's lowered America's credit rating in the Tea Party Downgrade of 2011, incoming House Budget Committee Chairman Tom Price (R-GA) promised to once again hold the debt ceiling hostage. As The Hill reported two weeks ago:
Rep. Tom Price (R-Ga.) on Friday said it would be "wise" for Republicans to follow a rule next year that would require any hike to the debt ceiling to be matched by equivalent spending cuts. 
Known as the Boehner Rule, it would require Congress to impose "dollar-for-dollar" cuts to offset any hike to the debt ceiling. The practice was established by Speaker John Boehner (R-Ohio) and used for much of 2011 after Republicans won House majority.
"I think it was wise, we kind of fell away from that," Price said. "Anything that gets us further in the direction of true reform to save and strengthen your Medicare Medicaid and Social Security is a wise thing for the country but it also helps us from a debt and deficit standing."
Price dismissed the suggestion that reviving the rule would prompt a showdown with President Obama.
"Having these crises moments, I prefer to think about as pinch-points to get good policy," Price said.
Unfortunately for the American people, virtually every other sentient creature has different view. As MSNBC's Steve Benen summed up this once-and-future extortion scheme:
As Price sees it, the GOP-led Congress will tell the Obama administration, "We'll cooperate, but only if you slash public investments. If not, we'll default on our debts, crash the economy, and destroy the full faith and credit of the United States."

Chairman Price's blackmail threat doesn't just fly in the face of Mitch McConnell's promise that "there will be no government shutdown or default on the national debt." Price's debt-ceiling is all the more irresponsible given the steep reduction in federal budget deficits that even Boehner admitted means "we have no immediate debt crisis" and nondefense discretionary spending as a percentage of the U.S. economy is already down to levels not seen since the 1950s. Worse still, even threatening default, as the experience from the summer of 2011 showed, costs the government money and undermines economic growth.



The GOP's unprecedented debt ceiling brinksmanship which began four years ago didn't just cost the Treasury billions of dollars in higher borrowing costs. American consumer confidence nose-dived during standoff in the summer of 2011:



As Reuters and the Christian Science Monitor explained, the GOP's debt-ceiling debacle was the main culprit for sagging confidence and job creation:
Why has the job market cooled so much? An important factor, many economists say, is that signals from government lately have been hurting rather than helping confidence. The protracted talks over the nation's debt ceiling this summer appeared to dampen the spirits of consumers and businesses alike.
On that point, S&P left little doubt in pointing the finger at the kamikaze conservatives in Congress:

A Standard & Poor's director said for the first time Thursday that one reason the United States lost its triple-A credit rating was that several lawmakers expressed skepticism about the serious consequences of a credit default -- a position put forth by some Republicans. Without specifically mentioning Republicans, S&P senior director Joydeep Mukherji said the stability and effectiveness of American political institutions were undermined by the fact that "people in the political arena were even talking about a potential default," Mukherji said. "That a country even has such voices, albeit a minority, is something notable," he added. "This kind of rhetoric is not common amongst AAA sovereigns."
Such voices are indeed uncommon—except among congressional Republicans. 
And so it goes. There is every indication that 2015 could be a great year for the American economy. Robust economic growth, strong hiring, cheap energy and the prospect (finally) of rising wages augur well for real improvement in Americans' standard of living. Unless, of course, Republicans get in the way. But by threatening to block judicial and executive branch nominees, handcuffing the IRS, demanding make-believe budgets and risking the full faith and credit of the United States, the GOP appears dead set on doing just that.
 

David Koch's Latest Scheme to Dodge the Guillotine
Just in case the mob gets through the gate and past security...

For a final, hauntingly flat note in this chorus of deception and larceny, we can look at what David Koch plans for his "free time" once the Congressional looting is safely underway.

David wants to "help out the cause of justice" by "reforming" the judicial system.

His "pitch" is to "reform" it so the "less fortunate" will get a better break -- especially with respect to sentencing. However, aside from those of us born on New Year's Day 2015, we all know better than to even waste time courting such fickle idealism. We've all had more than one chance to see David and Charles' patriotic "idealism" unfold before.

The brothers' "hard earned," personal dynastic wealth mushroomed by around $40 Bn during the last six years while they dumped billions into their craven efforts of unseat the democracy and destroy the President. However, as we find them this minute finally hovering within grasp of taking permanent ownership of the entire country, David must have had a "plutocratic nightmare" in which he saw himself and his brother as 21st Century "Marie Antoinettes."
 
Perhaps the "interestingly sour" potatoes served with the seasoned breasts of a late night sous vide duck didn't agree with David's oligarchic GI tract.

Naturally, after being reassured by his household servants that he was still the richest man within a thousand miles of his tear soaked, silk pillow, he almost immediately undertook this fascinating "judicial reform" hobby -- perhaps soliciting a few ideas and calling in a few favors from his black robed, Koch Industries employees seated on the Supreme Court.

MeanMesa will leave it to you, esteemed visitor, to thread through David's op-ed. It's somehow comforting to know that even this billionaire still shudders at the possibility of sharing a cell. We can only hope.


An additional resource is noted here: here - Ring of Fire Radio


Friday, August 22, 2014

Thanksgiving's Coming - So, Impeach Obama, Right?

The traditional recipe: Stewed FOX [image source]
Summer's Almost Gone
Get ready for the family...

Of course, there is the natural aura of dreadful anticipation surrounding the inevitable spat which will suddenly lurching itself onto the Thanksgiving table. Weird Uncle Billy, still recovering from the night before at the American Legion beer hall, will inevitably latch onto some otherwise innocent, casual remark from someone at the table, interpreting it as a open opportunity to begin another repetition one of his already road weary FOX "news" lectures on the outrage and danger of Obama Care, the IRS or Benghazi.

Relax.

Although Uncle Billy, all juiced up with what he heard on his car radio during the trip to Thanksgiving dinner, has been convinced that his opinions ["everybody knows..."] are either "those of a clear majority" or some sort of evidence of his "long suffering patriotism," he is actually nothing more than a loud mouthed outlier. He's been fed hourly doses of twisted facts for years, and -- sometime around 1994 -- he quietly began believing them.

Well, turn that frown upside down! You are not alone! Here's a little audio comedy which will help lift your spirits. Listening to this will strengthen your resolve to make another try at the suggestion which follows in this post, that is, caringly ushering Uncle Billy back to reality.


The Uncle Bill story may seem like fantasy to some of us, but to others, it represents an relentlessly unpleasant and frustrating recurring nightmare. Further, "Uncle Bill" might be an actual uncle, but his equivalent could also manifest as all sorts of other people we encounter in our daily lives -- someone at the office, a blow hard neighbor or someone in a check out line. MeanMesa, wearing an old Obama-Biden tee shirt from the 2008 election campaign, was accosted by a butcher at the neighborhood farmer's market grocery.

If you're not intimidated by these over zealous mouth breathers, you'll need to get ready for those unavoidable moments when they decide to tell you "how it is." This post will set you up with what you'll need.


Beefing Up Reality's Voice

Let's make the reactionaries defend their talking points

When we face facts, as opposed to stumbling around mindlessly inebriated by "non-news" television, we must acknowledge that perhaps as many as 30 % of US voters continue to consider the right wing's artificial think tank media stream more or less credible. The oligarchs' plan unquestionably incorporated this aspect of "non-symmetric" propaganda promotion in their larger scheme to permanently divide the country's electorate.

One of the most common forms of these irritating attacks may not even focus on any particular topic, but rather be blindly driven by what is called "Obama-phobia." In these cases there is little likelihood that the conversation will get far beyond raw right wing racism with a few of the "easier to recall" wing nut talking points interposed here and there. These, generally, have some tenuous, talking point connection to three areas of government policy.

1. The Federal Deficit
2. Federal Spending and Stimulus
3. Unemployment and Job Creation

These seem to be the primary subjects which the right wingers have heard the most frequently repeated complaints about from their media outlets. The frenetic Benghazi, IRS and Obama Care scandals ignominiously "died on the vine" public opinion-wise before garnering any political traction -- primarily because they were each too complicated for the GOP's educationally challenged base to handle in one of their abnormal, breathless "spontaneous conversations."

What's the point?

Because these deceptive "media lines" have been roaming around our country's "free press" -- unhampered by any contradictory, factual reality -- long enough to foment this current synthetic political meme, MeanMesa is anxious to do what's possible to equip visitors with information they need to set things straight. So, let's get to work.

A Few Convenient "FOX Fact Un-Twisters"
Excerpt Courtesy of Daily KOS

MeanMesa ran across the Daily KOS article with these great graphic charts which happen to directly address the three areas of right wing propaganda mentioned above. To start, we need to take a close look at the data they present. This article is excerpted here, but the original is worth reading. Enjoy. [All links from the original article remain enabled.]

Three Charts 
to Email to Your Right-Wing Brother-In-Law -- Update

Friday, August 8, 2014
Dave Johnson

Dave is a Fellow at Campaign for America's Future and a Senior Fellow at Renew California


Problem: Your right-wing brother-in-law is plugged into the FOX-Limbaugh lie machine, and keeps sending you emails about "Obama spending" and "Obama deficits" and how the "stimulus" just made things worse.

Solution: Here are three "reality-based" charts to send to him. These charts show what actually happened.

Spending


Government spending increased dramatically under President Bush. It has not increased much under President Obama. This is just a fact.

Deficits



Note that this chart starts with Clinton's last budget year for comparison.

The numbers in these two charts come from Budget of the United States Government: Historical Tables Fiscal Year 2015. They are just the amounts that the government spent and borrowed, period, Anyone can go look them up. People who claim that Obama "tripled the deficit" or increased it or anything of the sort are either misled or are trying to mislead. President Obama inherited a budget deficit of $1.4 trillion from President Bush's last budget year and annual budget deficits have gone down dramatically since.

The Stimulus and Jobs




In this chart, the RED lines on the left side – the ones that keep doing DOWN – show what happened to jobs under the policies of Bush and the Republicans. We were losing lots and lots of jobs every month, and it was getting worse and worse. The BLUE lines – the ones that just go UP – show what happened to jobs when the stimulus was in effect. We stopped losing jobs and started gaining jobs, and it was getting better and better.

The leveling off on the right side of the chart shows what happened as the stimulus started to wind down: job creation leveled off at too low a level.

It looks a lot like the stimulus reversed what was going on before the stimulus. We have gone from losing around 850,000 jobs a month to gaining over 200,000 jobs a month.

Conclusion: THE STIMULUS WORKED BUT WAS NOT ENOUGH!

More False Things

These are just three of the false things that everyone "knows" because places like Fox News repeat them over and over and over. Some others are (click through): Obama bailed out the banks, businesses will hire if they get tax cuts, health care reform cost $1 trillion, Social Security is a Ponzi Scheme or is "going broke", tax cuts grow the economy, government spending "takes money out of the economy."

Actually This Reduced Spending And Lower Deficit Have Hurt The Economy

Government spending is literally, by definition, the things that government does to make our lives better. People have been tricked into thinking that government spending is somehow bad. The billionaires and giant corporations spread this nonsense around because they are greedy and just want their taxes lower. The top income tax rate used to be more than 90 percent and the top corporate tax rate used to be more than 50 percent. That was back when we built this country's great infrastructure, had good schools and defended the world against the Soviet Union. We also had higher economic growth and a growing middle class.

Government spending does not "take money out of the economy." In fact it puts money into the economy, creates jobs and lays the foundation for future prosperity. The decline in government spending shown in the charts above is the reason that the economy remains sluggish and jobs are still hard to get. Just look at that chart showing what the stimulus spending did for the job situation. But since the stimulus ended, Republicans have obstructed every effort to continue to use our government to help our economy.

Putting the Plan Into Action

Uncle Billy don' kere whut yew lyin' libruls is sayin'

Now, clearly, rattling off volumes of figures to one of these already gravely confused "propaganda victims" will probably not be all that effective. After all, they are accustomed to "absorbing" think tank talking points which have been "pre-digested" into such a state as to be pablum an infant could swallow without choking. Still, somewhere down in that mindless, hate filled "fellow citizen" there remains a potentially functional human.

This suggests that if we could just hand him something tangible that he might take home to "look at later," there is the possibility that he might consider some of the facts. Try to think of it as leaving an AA pamphlet on the coffee table of a still drunk alcoholic.

Some years ago MeanMesa prepared this "business card sized" graphic concerning the increases to the national debt occurring under various Presidents. It was handy because it could be reproduced on a computer printer, cut up with scissors and handed to these mouthy throwbacks.

At the time it directly contradicted reactionary "fact twisted" accounts of how bad Bill Clinton had been as President.

At first these were prepared individually, but after the idea caught on a little, all sorts of folks wanted a few that they, too, could hand out to argumentative Republicans. To provide these, the individual card image was "ganged" into an 8 1/2" by 11" format for "mass" printing.

Cutting these sheets into individual "business cards" took a few minutes, but the results were fantastic!

To get started you'll need to purchase a ream of card stock. This contains 500 sheets of printer compatible card stock, so you'll have plenty to make a few cards containing all sorts of different "messages." The card stock here at Galactic HeadQuarters is 110 pound, and cost around $8. The 500 sheet ream has lasted for years -- through a couple of Presidential elections and a few other things.

MeanMesa has ganged the charts from Daily KOS in the same manner, converted them into blogger friendly ".jpegs," and posted them here on the blog for your convenience.

You can copy them as you read this post, paste them onto your "drawing" part of your office program and print away. You may need to adjust the size to make sure it is going to print a nice spread on a full sheet of card stock.




So, get out your scissors, stay inside the lines and get to it!

Friday, August 15, 2014

Daily KOS: New Mexico Education Scandal

First, Just A Quick Note About New Mexico ALEC
Think of it as making weekly, over due, 
dentist payments...for an endless toothache.

Frequent visitors to MeanMesa are quite aware that there is "little love lost" between this blog and the New Mexico infestation of the national American Legislative Exchange Council -- ALEC. More traditional media, even those generally opposed to ALEC's state level machinations, are apparently reluctant to "really just let go" when it comes time for "clearing the air."

For example, we can consider the local "newspaper" in Albuquerque, the tragic, tattered remains of what was, at one time, apparently, an actual newspaper. The Albuquerque Journal has always remained suspiciously silent on the topic of ALEC. This shouldn't surprise anyone who has had the misfortune of accidentally picking up the rag, no doubt thinking it might be a good fit for the bottom of a parakeet cage. The Journal is famous for publishing right wing op-eds on its front page as if they were news.

Well, relax. MeanMesa isn't nearly as reluctant as the Journal to post on this topic, and, although this post is primarily about some financial shenanigans being pulled by the sold out Martinez administration, just about any time "financial shenanigans" begin to emerge from Santa Fe, it's almost a sure bet that somewhere down the line the cash will, sooner or later, begin to dance to an ALEC tune.

ALEC titles itself an "exchange" council, but that seemingly reasonable description is about as misleading as the rest of what ALEC is and what ALEC does.  NM ALEC is populated by Republicans. There might be a heavily soiled Democrat or two in the mix, but they would only be there if, as they say, "the price was right." In that case, they would fit into the crowd just swimmingly because that is precisely the reason the Republicans are there.

The ALEC Republicans are bold faced looters. The particular loot causing them to salivate so much in this case is the part of the State of New Mexico legislative education budget which is intended to pay for special education. These ALEC looters don't arrive in 1920's phaetons like Al Capone, or suddenly appear on the horizon like the Dark Age army of Gustavus Adolphus. Instead, ALEC is far more likely to meet and greet sympathetic state legislators at one of its famously lavish, fully hosted "legislative affairs conventions."

This is where the "exchange" part of the American Legislative Exchange Council is "exchanged." In some distant think tank bunker -- long before the "convention" even begins -- the oligarchs have ordered their minions to prepare "proposed legislation," that is, to prepare fully complete legislative "bills" which can be introduced effortlessly by the "sympathetic" state legislators who have become even more "sympathetic" amid all the wining and dining at the big ALEC "doin's," not to mention the theoretically unspoken promise of substantial campaign contributions.

ALEC is designed to be the "ultimate middle man." Corporations are understandably "gun shy" about visiting the Round House in the light of day, check books in hand, so ALEC handles the dirty work for them. After purchasing a nice clutch of promisingly cooperative state legislative Republicans, ALEC disappears from public sight. The "fix" is in. The anti-democracy rerouting of public funds is underway.

[MeanMesa has posted about ALEC NM before. ALEC NM - Anti-Democracy in the High Desert]

Introducing Albuquerque to 
DAILY KOS

For political junkies such as MeanMesa, Daily KOS merits an eager, daily visit. If you would like to visit the site yourself, just click on this link: http://www.dailykos.com/. You will find a truly refreshing treatment of many of the major news stories unfolding in the country. Although it presents an unabashedly liberal slant in its articles, you will enjoy both its editorial honesty and the thoughtful depth typically found in Daily KOS reporting.

MeanMesa suspects that most Americans have abandoned the alphabet networks by this time, and while this list may certainly begin with Murdoch's FOX, it now solidly includes ABC, NBC, CBS, CNN and much of MSNBC. So far as the "informed electorate" goes, we're flying blind.

The excellent Daily KOS reporting which follows is presented in its entirety. While you read it, bear in mind these thoughts about ALEC and the twisted, tormented route the ALEC Republicans in the New Mexico state government seem to take as they wheedle away funds from the place where legislators thought they were putting them to somewhere else.

Think about precisely where that "somewhere else" might be on your way to the polls in November. At the moment, these pikers think that they're doing just great.


Daily KOS


WED MAY 21, 2014 AT 12:51 PM PDT

Susana Martinez' PED May Owe Districts 
Millions for Special Education

by Boogiemania

[Link to the original Daily KOS article  here.]


Monday night a crowd of worried teachers and parents converged on the APS administrative building in uptown Albuquerque. Albuquerque Public Schools (APS) Superintendent Winston Brooks had convened a special public forum to discuss the proposed APS response to a ruling that the New Mexico Public Education Department (PED) violated federal law in 2011-2012 by reducing special education funding from 2009 levels. At the forum, attended by other superintendents and legislators (but notably no state employees), Brooks revealed his plan to ask Arnie Duncan to require the state to create a payment plan to reimburse all the school districts that have been meeting their obligations to special education students. (PDF of APS presentation)


The metaphorical milk has been spilled in more ways than one. On May 8, Judge O'Hair ruled that the PED's argument had no merit, and the state would lose $34.12 million dollars in federal funding, an equivalent amount to the appropriation the state should have made in that year. This is only the beginning of the story; the state has continued to fund special education at the lower levels, despite repeated warnings about losing federal education subsidies. Indeed, the loss of subsidies is non-negotiable; the law is clear that no alternative is permitted.

Federal law on Maintenance of Effort (MOE) is pretty simple (click images for full size). The state must appropriate funds for special education equal to or more than the funds spent the previous fiscal year. Local school districts must spend funds on special education equal to or more than what was spent the previous year. APS and several other districts in New Mexico have kept their side of the bargain—keeping special education funding—mostly by dipping into the general education fund. During the year in question that meant that all Albuquerque students in the system were shorted about $8.8 million (and indeed APS lost hundreds of jobs during this time).

Gutting Special Needs Education - the timeline [image source]
[Take a moment to expand this chart in a new window and take a close look. The story told here is worth knowing.]


The unacknowledged truth (hinted at during the public forum) is that Governor Martinez—and her unconfirmed Secretary-Designate Hanna Skandera—dropped the ball administratively and don't want to acknowledge their mistake. Indeed, the state's response is to file a lawsuit against the government (draining away even more special education dollars in attorney's fees). The state PED started cutting special education funding in response to the recession, and the Department of Education granted a waiver for the first year, when the state was in a desperate cash crunch. In subsequent years the economy has recovered somewhat, but Governor Susana Martinez's education department has continued to fund special education at lower levels, claiming that the year for which the waiver was granted should have set a new baseline.

Superintendent Brooks' sensible and creative response to what has become a chronic problem ("darn near criminal" according to one insider at the forum; "verging on malfeasance" according to another), is to ask Secretary of Education Arnie Duncan to force the state to pay the school districts back the millions they failed to appropriate. One activist parent, Katie Stone, recommended that they incorporate language to put the New Mexico PED under a corrective action plan, which won warm applause from the crowd, and will probably be included in the draft presented to the school board tonight for approval.

The legislators present, Representative Mimi Stewart and Senator Daniel Ivey-Soto, were quick to point out that they were the ones who had inadvertently discovered what PED was doing, and how many years this problem had gone unaddressed. They assured the crowd that the legislature is now fully aware of the issue and that the most recent budget had appropriated supplemental funds to meet MOE for last year and this year but that they ultimately fell far short of the underfunding.

Whether it was malice or neglect that caused this administrative failure, the most disabled children did not suffer the consequences. It's been the top 90% of students—and particularly the top 5%—who have felt the repercussions. Gifted students, who are part of the special education program under state law, have seen more barriers to entry and less reliable service. The reason became somewhat clearer at the meeting (although the APS people would not address this directly). Federal funds for special education are earmarked for students with disabilities so they counted toward MOE expenditures, but could not be used for gifted, so the district's solution has been to provide fewer services to fewer children (which may explain Governor Martinez' claim that the state doesn't have to spend so much money because the number of special education children needing services has dropped).

Other issues that were raised at the meeting hint at a broader tangle of problems at PED that needs to be unwound. Governor Martinez wants to see most of the money "below the line," meaning that her department has discretion over the expenditure of funds. The school districts and parents were vocal about wanting the funds "above the line," and earmarked for specific programs. One of the problems with tracking the MOE expenditures has been that education spending has become steadily less transparent under Martinez' administration.

During her public comment period, Ms. Stone mentioned that the root of the education funding problem in New Mexico is the root of many other issues, including oil spills and nuclear leaks, namely that Governor Martinez has allowed employment vacancies to undermine the function of the government. Like the critically understaffed environment department, 50-75 positions in the PED go unfilled.

It's hard to see how Governor Martinez can equate the obstinate, ideological malfeasance of her education department with making educational achievement the cornerstone of her current gubernatorial campaign. Susana Martinez craves a national stage where she can trumpet her educational achievements and her conservative credentials. The special education funding fiasco is something she would like to see swept under the rug and tied up in endless appeals and arbitration until she is re-elected in November.

In trying to shortchange the most needy of our students, she ended up hurting the majority of students in the state, including the highest achieving. In trying to save money on the backs of disabled children, she is costing the state untold millions in fines and legal fees. Rather than taking responsibility for the actions of her administration, she is doubling down, going on the offensive—and still not funding special education at mandatory levels.

Tonight, the Albuquerque Board of Education will discuss the letter to Secretary Duncan and decide whether to press ahead with recovering funds for our students.

If you are an Albuquerque resident and read this story today, contact your school board member and ask them to support a repayment plan as well as a corrective action plan for PED.

If you are anywhere in New Mexico, contact your school board and ask them what their response is going to be. Contact your US Senators and Representatives to ask them to lean on Secretary Duncan. Write the press, tell your friends and let teachers know how much PED has been shortchanging them. The press has been reluctant to pick up on this story, so it's up to people who care about adequate funding for kids to make a stink.

Thu May 22, 2014 at 6:05 PM PT: Update: the final letter was approved by the board for everyone to sign and send to Arnie Duncan, including a new section regarding a corrective action plan.
See:

Thanks to everyone who has supported this issue by spreading the word! Now we need to get our legislators to support the plan too!



ORIGINALLY POSTED TO BOOGIEMAMA ON WED MAY 21, 2014 AT 12:51 PM PDT.
ALSO REPUBLISHED BY NEW MEXICO KOSSAKS.

© Kos Media, LLCSite content may be used for any purpose without explicit permission unless otherwise specified
“Kos” and “Daily Kos” are registered trademarks of Kos Media, LLC
[Links transferred from the original article remain enabled.]
A Final Note

Trying to influence the legislative action in the Round House can be a tricky business. A few of us may be "connected" to NM State legislators willing to stand up to this sort of business, and there are, actually, Representatives and Senators in Santa Fe who might be inclined to act in the public interest on such matters, but MeanMesa is saddened to concede that these men and women will comprise only a minority.
In a State already crippled by the crushing poverty of the 2008 Great Republican Recession resources for the legislative budget are tight amid what is now widely considered to be a "double dip" impact. However, these factors do not present an excuse for subverting lawful allocations of resources for public education.
If we can't find the money for public education, it's already past time to figure out why.
The special needs requirements are not discretionary spending. The NM plan to handle this part of the education funding has threads running to the Federal Department of Education. Eliminating this Department is one of the favorites of the drooling right wingers' "policy platforms" for "reducing the size of government and lowering taxes." [Read a sample  here.]
The budget for this part of the State's public education commitment is not to be left unattended for the ALEC GOP "schemers," although it appears that this is exactly where we are now.
While it is unlikely that the scam reported in the Daily KOS article can be stopped or even mitigated in the foreseeable future, just remember that the money which is NOT going to special needs education is still, in fact, GOING SOMEWHERE.