Showing posts with label American public opinion. Show all posts
Showing posts with label American public opinion. Show all posts

Sunday, January 1, 2012

Learning: Citizen United's First Year

Everybody Doesn't Win, but Everybody Learns

It's been a year since the Citizen United decision appalled most of the country in January, 2010.  There were a few Americans with enough Supreme Court savvy to dislike the activist nature of the thing or, perhaps, be unsettled by the striking break with precedent.  There were a few who found themselves unnerved by the hubris of the fascist, Bush strewn remnants of the court.

However, the complaints and laments of 2010 were of an academic nature.  The theory of the new possibilities was troubling, but the decision's future, material ramifications still amounted to nothing more than terrifying Constitutional hypotheticals.  Americans were far too toughened by the steady stream of outrages since the 2000 election to "waste time" worrying about as of yet unrealized future judicial calamities.

In fact, the same bunch who were secretly salivating at the prospect of actually buying an entire Presidential election in 2012 had effortlessly reduced the country to a desperate, nearly coast to coast poverty, extracted the wealth which had taken decades to secure and successfully remained untouchable behind the cover of their now subservient media.  Interestingly, MeanMesa heard no voices publicly speaking in support of the judicial concept of the decision.

That silence was a clue.  Someone must have like it.  But silence, nonetheless.

One might have imagined that bottom feeders such as the Armeys, Roves, Kochs or the WalMart Waltons might have let slip something positive about Citizens United, but nothing.  Perhaps such conversation and opinions were carefully reserved for Country Club salons where no spoken word has ever escaped.

quod est necessarium est licitum
"What is necessary, is lawful." 

Our Latin omits just a few pregnant questions, but especially the question of "necessary."  Necessary to whom?  Why necessary now? 

Those in power were compelled to make the Citizens United decision.  Both the flavor of prevailing circumstance and breathless perspiration of this moment in time demanded that risk be taken, gauntlets cast down and all chips placed in ante for the game approaching.  There is, actually, a game in progress.  It is not a game that we here at the bottom might ever glimpse until it's final, bloody, last hand has closed, but the result of its very soiled consummation will be a "free horizon" for the oligarchs, opportunity, raw, soulless and completely unfettered -- unfettered by anything in the world.

Estimates at the time of this posting place the Citizens United "war chest" in the $4 Bn range as it gorges itself in preparation for the 2012 election.

Of course, the rampaging avarice for power has become cash.  Even Citizens United leaves a few, perfunctory "rules" in place, tattered shards of the old democracy, but such temporary obstacles are not permanent.  According to the plan, they will simply be left on the "to do" list until the takeover moves closer to completion.

Citizens United was necessary, given the stakes of the current political game.  The scheme to transform the republic into a modern oligarchy has made a significant, durable progress, but it is progress which still has foundation problems.  The conspirators have, indeed, increased tension during the Obama Presidency at an explosive rate, but neither the schedule nor the path has not been well managed.

In fact, those "increases in tension" have not turned out to be all that steady.  Yes, the hill billies and the bigots in the reactionary base have literally "gobbled up" the pablum, but that success was also supposed to ensnare more rational voters who weren't paying enough attention to the details in the flood of misinformation, voters who could be drawn into the maelstrom for no reason any more compelling than the number of reactionaries who were already there.

Like the teasing near orgasm of a drunken bus station whore, the feverish pitch seemed moments from "victory" six months ago, but in the ensuing time, every pain of the Great Republican Depression of 2008 has patiently settled in like an enduring toothache.  The pain is no longer theoretical or conveniently ideological.  The pain has become far too material to lend itself to the cheap redirection the scam enjoyed before.

Over Funded, Over Reaching
and Under Sophisticated

MeanMesa stood both horrified and despondent during the scheme's early successes.  It seemed that the entire country had become even more illiterate, uniformed and uninterested over night.  The daily barrage of propaganda victories of the early campaign was supposed to saturate progressives with a strangely pervasive yet ambiguous hopelessness, and it did.

The 2010 election played its part in revving up the hopelessness, but it also signalled the effects of the scheme's early strategy to dishearten voters.  The oligarchs' Congressional scheme of total obstruction lent itself well to the popular but synthetic, horror fantasy "that all politicians are alike, that both parties are alike, and that the President is ineffective." 

However, the recent developments were not all bad.  What we had expected from Citizens United in our darkest moments never materialized, at least, never materialized in the form of the hideous juggernaut we had at first anticipated.  The takeover scheme was churning along at full throttle for a while, but as time slipped by, interesting pieces of the evil plan began to fall off the machine.

We progressives gradually realized that we had over estimated the sophistication of the uber-rich but not their cynicism.  Emboldened by their early successes, the oligarch strategists immediately over reached.  Their ambitions drove them mindlessly, miles too far from their own carefully constructed supply lines.  Their "supply" of impulsive and determined base followers faltered.

Their tea bags slowly lost their fervor as more and more of the corporate spine of that movement was illuminated.  Their nationwide voter suppression moves caught the attention of the Justice Department.  Literally millions of Americans rose up against state capitols which had been considered unassailable bastions only days before.

Governors and State Senators were being recalled.  Reactionary, class based legislation was going down in flames in electorate initiatives.  Not even the corporate media could downplay the gravity of these events, although they tried mightily.  The spigots for more and more Citizens United cash were opened wide, and the psychology departments of the think tanks flew into "fix it" mode.

And trouble for the oligarch class didn't stop there.

Their own fierce cynicism had assured them that American voters would be unable -- or unwilling -- to discern the distance between obvious truth and their glacier of propaganda.  The stock of the "lie catching business" began to rise as fact checking progressive enterprises took advantage of the eternality of modern video and internet technologies.  Poorly prepared and poorly designed [i.e. too stupid] reactionary candidates began to encounter the worst, most embarrassing  possible parts of their own history on a regular basis -- on television.

The ghostly block of Republican unanimity cracked in "debates" and negative ads from other Republicans.  Even worse, the audiences at GOPCon "debates" began to routinely humiliate themselves with jeers at active military men, cheers for executions and an immoral disinterest in everything from health care to women's rights, birth control and an affordable end to military colonialism.

No amount of Citizens United money could fix that.  No amount of Citizens United money could keep such things a secret.  These events had been engineered and financed by Citizen United money.

The bizarre over reaching began in earnest.  Candidates without campaigns -- Cain, for example -- were created with a straight flow of cash rather than any of  the traditional enthusiasm of voters.  Arcane "throw-aways" such as Perry were inflated to momentary importance with huge amounts of oligarch dollars in the expectation that if only a candidate "looked like" a candidate, the zombies would elect him.

The oligarchs had actually created a "supply side" political problem for themselves.  Their problem was that there was simply not enough of a "supply" of zombies to keep the game going.  Further, they were gradually discovering that -- even with a Citizens United check book in hand -- their purchasing agents were reporting back that the "shelves were bare."  They had already purchased -- and consumed -- the entire supply of malcontents and idiots.

No amount of Citizen United cash and no amount of meat handed, adolescent political incendiaries seemed to be able to refill the ranks.  The public opinion polls finally began to sag.  There was no more excitement to be had, just the toothache.

The Beached Whale

The Citizens United "coup d'etat" (image source)


The beached whale will smell awful by November. And, the toothache will remain more than a fleeting memory.

Almost anything else will smell better.



Sunday, April 18, 2010

Part One: Meet The Tea Baggers - Who Are They?


Now, MeanMesa has already spent "plenty of typewriter ink" discussing just how important it is to the corporate media frauds to sell every issue as a two-sided "burning question of the day."  Their grotesque inflation of the tiny Tea Bag "movement" to what they feverishly hope will come to be considered a Potent Third Party should not surprise anyone.

After all, it is precisely these same sham artists who encourage unchallenged statements from their Republican Party Masters during interviews -- you know, Senator McChinless screeching out that "Thu 'Merican people has spoke!  They hate this thing!" and the like.

Well, CBS and the New York Times have taken the effort to conduct a fairly rational opinion poll -- one in which Tea Bag opinions have been explored even more fully than they possibly deserve, given their miniscule demographics.  Naturally, MeanMesa, an incredibly objective seeker of all things possibly interesting (Oh, all right.  We can add "for the inquiring mind..."), felt obliged to present their poll's findings.  They are cited here  (below) directly from the report.

However, first, please enjoy an anaesthetic moment of comic relief.  The photo of the autocrat in all his insipid, smiling splendor is provided from the Huffington Post.




George W. Bush is back...in billboard form. Hovering over I-35 near Wyoming, Minn., is an ominous/how'd-anyone-take-him-seriously pic of the former president with the question, "Miss Me Yet?"
There have been no reports as to who is behind the billboard. For all we know Bush put it up after finding a picture of himself as he was about to catch a hamburger at a barbecue. (via NPR)
UPDATE: Morphyne.com is taking credit for the billboard claiming they spent only $1,200 for the ad space.


Read the whole Huffington story here.




Read the entire story of the CBS/NYT poll here.



CBS NEWS/NY TIMES POLL
For release: Thursday, 
February 11th, 2010
6:30 PM (EST)
THE TEA PARTY MOVEMENT
February 5-10th, 2010

Americans who call themselves supporters of the Tea Party movement express strong levels of anger toward Washington generally, and great personal antipathy toward President Barack Obama specifically. They are more likely to call themselves Republicans than independents.

Despite those strong views, for most Americans the movement remains relatively unknown: most haven’t heard of the Tea Party, and those who have are still unsure about its stances.

Americans who call themselves “Tea Party members” in this poll:
• Mostly consider themselves Republicans – not independents - and most view the Republican Party favorably (62%).
• Are overwhelmingly negative about President Obama personally (80%); Americans overall are more favorable.
• Are more likely to think President Obama is working mainly on behalf of the poor, and not the middle class.
• Express nearly three times more anger toward Washington (45%) than Americans overall (17%).
• Are more likely to believe President Obama has already raised taxes, while most Americans do not.

WHO ARE THE TEA PARTIERS?

Tea Party identifiers hold an overwhelmingly negative opinion of President Obama, while Americans overall are slightly positive about him personally, even if not all of them approve of his job performance.

VIEWS OF PRESIDENT OBAMA

............................All       Tea Partiers......
Favorable..........39%          11%
Unfavorable......34             80
Undecided/
haven’t heard...25               9

Tea Partiers also express much higher anger toward the government in Washington. Compared to Americans overall, nearly three times as many say they feel angry about the government.

FEELINGS TOWARD GOVERNMENT IN WASHINGTON
............................................All        Tea Partiers 
Enthusiastic/satisfied......29%               9%
Dissatisfied.......................53                46
Angry.................................17                45

One-third of Tea Party identifiers think the Obama administration favors the poor, compared to just 18% of all Americans. About half of all Americans think President Obama is working for the middle class or all classes equally.

THINK THE OBAMA ADMINISTRATION FAVORS…

..........................................All        Tea Partiers
The poor..........................18%             33%
The middle class............24                10
The rich............................22                24
Treats all equal...............25                17

Most Tea Partiers hold favorable views of the Republican Party (62%); they are nearly twice as positive as Americans overall (35%). And Tea Partiers are much less favorable about the Democrats (9%) compared to Americans overall (42%).

FAVORABLE RATINGS OF DEMOCRATIC AND REPUBLICAN PARTIES

................................................................All         Tea Partiers
Favorable view of Democrats............42%                9%
Favorable view of Republicans........ 35                 62

Tea Partiers are not enthralled with Congress -- they rate it as badly as Americans overall do.

RATINGS OF CONGRESS

                                                               All        Tea Partiers
Approve                                               15%              18%
Disapprove                                          75                 77

Even more so than most Americans, Tea Partiers overwhelmingly think the government generally is run by special interests, not for the benefit of the people.

GOVERNMENT IS RUN…

                                                               All       Tea Partiers
By a few big interests                         78%            92%
For benefit of all people                     18                 4

While Americans blame the Bush Administration for the deficit, Tea Partiers don’t; they’re more likely to point to the Obama administration or Congress.

WHO IS RESPONSIBLE FOR FEDERAL DEFICIT?

                                                   All        Tea Partiers
Bush admin.                             41%             16%
Obama admin.                           7                 19
Congress                                 24                  33
All                                             10                  15

And Tea Party identifiers are more likely to believe President Obama has already raised taxes this past year. Most Americans think the President has kept them the same.

OBAMA ADMINISTRATION HAS ALREADY…

                                                All             Tea Partiers
Raised taxes                         24%                  44%
Lowered taxes                      12                        2
Kept taxes same                   53                     46

In one difference on economic policy, Tea Party supporters (and many Republicans) express greater opposition to the idea of more bank regulations, while most Americans are in favor of increased regulations.

SHOULD BANK REGULATIONS BE INCREASED?

                                              All               Tea Partiers
Yes                                       56%                    42%
No                                         36                       48

Americans who identify themselves as Tea Party members are more likely then Americans overall to live in the South, and are older (59% say they are over age 45, compared to 50% of Americans.)

TEA PARTY IDENTIFICATION BY REGION

                                           All Americans        Tea Partiers
Northeast                                   23%                        16%
South                                          32                            37
Midwest                                      22                            19
West                                            24                            29

Tea Party identifiers are overwhelmingly white -- 95% are white, compared to 77% of Americans.
Tea Party members’ income and education is comparable to that of all Americans: they are as likely to have college educations (26%) and earn over $50,000 per year (51%) as Americans overall.

THE TEA PARTY MOVEMENT AND AMERICANS OVERALL

A majority of Americans still say they do not know much about the Tea Party movement; more than half say they have heard not much or nothing about it.

HOW MUCH HAVE YOU HEARD ABOUT TEA PARTY MOVEMENT?

A lot                                   18%
Some                                 27
Not much/none                55

Even among those Americans who say they have heard about the Tea Party, four in ten still admit they don’t know much about what it stands for.

HOW MUCH DO YOU KNOW ABOUT TEA PARTY POSITIONS?
(Among those who’ve heard of Tea Party)

A lot                                 19%
Some                               41
Not much/none              40

The Tea Party movement gets mixed reviews from those who have at least heard of it, but more than half are still unsure. Republicans who’ve heard about it have favorable views of the Tea Party movement, but even many Republicans aren’t sure.

OPINIONS OF THE TEA PARTY
(Among those who’ve heard of Tea Party)

                                              All          Reps        Dems      Inds
Favorable                            26%        42%           3%        30%
Unfavorable                        20              2             47           14
Undecided/unsure             54            56            50            56

Among those who’ve heard of the Tea Party movement, only a third thinks it reflects the views of most Americans. 21% aren’t sure.

DOES THE TEA PARTY REFLECT MOST AMERICANS?
(Among those who’ve heard of Tea Party)

Yes                          33%
No                            42
Don’t know             21

However, 36% of those who’ve heard of it say they generally agree with the Tea Party movement’s positions on issues; including 60% of Republicans.

Overall, less than one in five Americans considers themselves a “member” of the Tea Party. (This is a self-identification not related to whether they have attended any rallies or events.) Tea Party ranks are dominated by Republicans: one-third of all the Republicans in this poll identify themselves as Tea Party members, as do one in five independents.

DO YOU THINK OF YOURSELF AS A TEA PARTY MEMBER?

                                                 All        Reps        Dems       Inds
Yes                                         18%       35%           2%         19%
No                                           39          26            52             37
Don’t know/
Haven’t heard of it                43          39           46              44
_____________________________________________________________________
This poll was conducted among a random sample of 1084 adults nationwide, interviewed by telephone February 5-10, 2010. Phone numbers were dialed from random digit dial samples of both standard land-line and cell phones. The error due to sampling for results based on the entire sample could be plus or minus three percentage points. The error for subgroups is higher.

This poll release conforms to the Standards of Disclosure of the National Council on Public Polls.
CBS NEWS/NEW YORK TIMES POLL
The Tea Party Movement
February 5-10, 2010

q11 Do you approve or disapprove of the way Congress is handling its job?

                             Total         Tea Party Supporters
Approve                15%                    18%
Disapprove          75                        77
DK/NA                  10                          5              
("DK/NA" = "don't know /or/ no answer")

q14 Is your opinion of Barack Obama favorable, not favorable, undecided, or haven't you heard enough about Barack Obama yet to have an opinion?

                                                       Total         Tea Party Supporters
 Favorable                                    39%                      11%
Not favorable                               34                          80
Undecided                                   19                            8
Haven't heard enough                 6                             1
Refused                                         2                             0

q29 Which comes closest to your feelings about the way things are going in Washington -- enthusiastic, satisfied but not enthusiastic, dissatisfied but not angry, or angry?

                                                       Total         Tea Party Supporters
 Enthusiastic                                   3%                        2%
Satisfied, not enthusiastic          26                            7
Dissatisfied but not angry          53                          46
Angry                                            17                          45
DK/NA                                            1                             0

q30 Would you say the government is pretty much run by a few big interests looking out for themselves, or that it is run for the benefit of all the people?

                                                        Total         Tea Party Supporters
Few big interests                           78%                     92%
All people                                       18                           4
DK/NA                                              4                            4

q36 Who do you think is mostly to blame for the federal budget deficit -- 1. the Bush administration, 2. the Obama administration, 3. Congress, or 4. someone else?

                                                       Total         Tea Party Supporters
Bush administration                     41%                      16%
Obama administration                   7                          19
Congress                                      24                           33
Someone else                             10                             8
All of the above (vol.)                 10                           15         
("vol" = "voluntary response")
Combination (vol.)                        7                             8
DK/NA                                            1                             1

q40 In general, is your opinion of the Republican Party favorable or not favorable?

                                                     Total         Tea Party Supporters
Favorable                                    35%                       62%
Not favorable                              57                           34
DK/NA                                           8                             4

q41 In general, is your opinion of the Democratic Party favorable or not favorable?


                                                     Total         Tea Party Supporters
Favorable                                    42%                         9%
Not favorable                              51                          89
DK/NA                                           7                             2

q62 In general, do you think the policies of the Obama Administration favor the rich, favor the middle class, favor the poor, or do they treat all groups equally?

                                                   Total         Tea Party Supporters
Favor the rich                            22%                       24%
Favor the middle class            24                          10
Favor the poor                          18                          33
Treat all equally                       25                          17
DK/NA                                       11                          16

q67 So far, do you think the Obama Administration has increased taxes for most Americans, decreased taxes for most Americans, or have they kept taxes the same for most Americans?

                                                  Total         Tea Party Supporters
Increased                                  24%                      44%
Decreased                                12                            2
Kept the same                          53                          46
DK/NA                                       11                            8

q77 When it comes to government regulation of banks and financial institutions, which comes closer to your opinion: 1. The government should increase regulations on these institutions now to help prevent more financial crises from happening again in the future, OR 2. The government should NOT increase regulations on these institutions now, because that will discourage private investors and slow down economic growth.

                                                                      Total         Tea Party Supporters
Should increase regulations                     56%                       42%
Should not increase                                   36                           48
DK/NA                                                            8                           10

q88 How much have you heard or read about the Tea Party movement -- a lot, some, not much or nothing at all yet?

                                                Total       Rep      Dem       Ind
A lot                                          18%       20%      19%      17%
Some                                        27          28          25         27
Not much                                 21           22         19          22
Nothing                                    34           29         37          34
DK/NA                                        0            1            0            0

q89 How much do you know about what the Tea Party movement stands for -- lot, some, not much or nothing at all?
 (AMONG THOSE WHO HAVE HEARD OF THE TEA PARTY) 


                                            Total       Rep       Dem        Ind
A lot                                     19%        20%      16%       22%
Some                                   41           47          42          36
Not much                            28           28           27          28
Nothing at all                     12              5          15           14
DK/NA 0 0 0 0

q90 Is your opinion of the Tea Party movement favorable, not favorable, undecided, or haven't you heard enough about the Tea Party movement yet to have an opinion?

                                                  Total       Rep       Dem        Ind
Favorable                                    26%       42%        3%        30%
Not favorable                              20             2         47           14
Undecided                                  18           25         12           17
Haven't heard enough              36           31         38           39
Refused 0 0 0 0

q91 Regardless of your opinion, do you think the views of the people involved in the Tea Party movement generally reflect the views of most Americans, or not?


                                                    Total       Rep       Dem        Ind
Reflect most Americans           33%        51%        6%        38%
Do not reflect Americans         42            21         69            38
Both/Some (vol.)                         4            10           2              1
DK/NA                                        21            18         23           23

q92 Do you think the Tea Party movement has too much influence, too little influence, or the right amount of influence in the Republican Party?

                                                    Total       Rep       Dem        Ind
Too much                                    21%        5%        47%       15%
Too little                                      21          31             9            23
Right amount                             29          39           15            31
DK/NA                                        29          25           29            31

q93 Do you think the Tea Party movement will make the Republican Party stronger, will make the Republican Party weaker or will it have no effect on the Republican Party?

                                                  Total       Rep       Dem        Ind
Stronger                                    30%       51%       15%       26%
Weaker                                     16             7           24          16
No effect                                   30           25           34          32
DK/NA                                      24           17           27          26

q94 From what you have heard or read, would you say you generally agree or disagree with the Tea Party movement's positions on most social and political issues?

                         
                                       Total       Rep       Dem        Ind
Agree                                      36%        60%        9%        39%
Disagree                                 34           16         64            26
DK/NA                                     30           24         27            35

q95 Do you consider yourself to be a supporter of the Tea Party movement, or not?

                                               Total       Rep       Dem        Ind
Yes                                          18%      35%         2%        19%
No                                            39         26          52            37
DK/NA/Haven’t heard           43         39          46           44 


UNWEIGHTED WEIGHTED MARGIN OF ERROR

Total Respondents 1084 3 pts.
Tea Party Supporters 214 198 7 pts.


NOTE:  The last portion of the poll presented above has been abbreviated to include only  some of the more interesting responses.  For example, the "q95" notation indicates "question 95."  

Please "stay tuned" for Part Two of this series which should be posted very soon.  In the meantime, just consider the prospects of what might happen if this crowd can actually dupe enough "information challenged" voters into electing their candidates.

Thanks for visiting MeanMesa!